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Balkinization Symposiums: A Continuing List                                                                E-mail: Jack Balkin: jackbalkin at yahoo.com Bruce Ackerman bruce.ackerman at yale.edu Ian Ayres ian.ayres at yale.edu Corey Brettschneider corey_brettschneider at brown.edu Mary Dudziak mary.l.dudziak at emory.edu Joey Fishkin joey.fishkin at gmail.com Heather Gerken heather.gerken at yale.edu Abbe Gluck abbe.gluck at yale.edu Mark Graber mgraber at law.umaryland.edu Stephen Griffin sgriffin at tulane.edu Jonathan Hafetz jonathan.hafetz at shu.edu Jeremy Kessler jkessler at law.columbia.edu Andrew Koppelman akoppelman at law.northwestern.edu Marty Lederman msl46 at law.georgetown.edu Sanford Levinson slevinson at law.utexas.edu David Luban david.luban at gmail.com Gerard Magliocca gmaglioc at iupui.edu Jason Mazzone mazzonej at illinois.edu Linda McClain lmcclain at bu.edu John Mikhail mikhail at law.georgetown.edu Frank Pasquale pasquale.frank at gmail.com Nate Persily npersily at gmail.com Michael Stokes Paulsen michaelstokespaulsen at gmail.com Deborah Pearlstein dpearlst at yu.edu Rick Pildes rick.pildes at nyu.edu David Pozen dpozen at law.columbia.edu Richard Primus raprimus at umich.edu K. Sabeel Rahmansabeel.rahman at brooklaw.edu Alice Ristroph alice.ristroph at shu.edu Neil Siegel siegel at law.duke.edu David Super david.super at law.georgetown.edu Brian Tamanaha btamanaha at wulaw.wustl.edu Nelson Tebbe nelson.tebbe at brooklaw.edu Mark Tushnet mtushnet at law.harvard.edu Adam Winkler winkler at ucla.edu Compendium of posts on Hobby Lobby and related cases The Anti-Torture Memos: Balkinization Posts on Torture, Interrogation, Detention, War Powers, and OLC The Anti-Torture Memos (arranged by topic) Recent Posts Progressives Should Support a National Constitutional Convention: Answering the Doubters
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Friday, July 05, 2024
Progressives Should Support a National Constitutional Convention: Answering the Doubters
Guest Blogger
John Davenport
During
the last eight years, a radical antifederalist movement has been promoting the
idea of calling a new constitutional convention – and scaring liberal and
centrist political leaders and organizations along the way. This “convention of
states” (CoS) movement, as critics have noted, is funded by Koch Brothers money
through ALEC; it aims to destroy federal capacities to steer the economy and
hold corporations to basic standards. Backed by Federalist Society lawyers,
this movement was created by Texas governor Greg
Abbott, former Republican Senator Rick Santorum, and their allies to turn
cronies in red state capitols across the nation into convention delegates. They
want a convention that will pass a balanced budget requirement, abolish the
income tax, and gut the federal government’s powers – although, as I’ve argued
in The
Democracy Amendments, the
principle behind the enumeration of federal powers would today actually
entail an expansion of federal authorities to secure national public goods. With
astonishing arrogance, the CoS organizers hope to rig a convention so it can
discuss only their proposals. In
this circumstance, it is not surprising that leading Democratic politicians,
progressive legal scholars, and centrist or center-left groups like Common
Cause have portrayed a new convention called under Article V of the 1787
Constitution as an anathema that would destroy what is left of the federal
system sustaining the United States. They have persuaded Democratic-led state
governments in at least nine states such as New Jersey, Maryland, and New
York to withdraw calls for a national convention that their statehouses
issued years ago in hopes of amending the Constitution to allow election
spending limits, or to create constitutional voting rights, or to permit public
funding of religious schools. In fact, “conventionphobia” – David Pozen’s apt
term – has become the near- consensus position among most American progressives
(although California Governor
Gavin Newsom recently called for a convention to propose a gun control
amendment). But, as I will argue, conventionphobia results from wishful
thinking about our ordinary legislative process, paranoia about conservative
amendment aims, and lack of sorely needed vision. Indeed things are about as
bad as they could be in recent progressive thought about holding a new
constitutional convention. I.
First, the self-deception. The Common Cause Consensus (CCC), as I’ll label it
for convenience, still denies that amendments are needed to solve our problems
– even as federal gridlock worsens under the pressures of extreme and self-reinforcing
political polarization, and popular frustration drives ever more confused
people towards demagogues like Donald Trump. Somehow the fantasy persists that,
as David
Super put it in a Newsweek
exchange last summer, that once we persuade more people to vote Democratic,
“the Trumpist threat will fade away and enacting most of our program will
become relatively easy.” This is despite the far-right restricting registration
and voting access in a majority of states, and threatening to select electors
directly in state legislatures if the presidential vote does not go their way;
and despite the advent of AI-aided gerrymandering that empowers extreme primary
voters to control the House, while the increasing number of Americans
registered “independent” can cast their vote for third party candidates only by
becoming spoilers likely to help Trumpist candidates. And despite a filibuster
that has prevented enactment of the voting rights laws needed to overcome these
anti-democratic barriers – and a Court likely to rule such laws unconstitutional
if they ever do pass. As Pozen has argued in a California Law Review response to Jill Lepore – another progressive
who fears a convention – numerous overlapping features of our current
constitutional text structurally impede progressive goals. Suppose,
then, that events during a new Trump presidency push more progressives to
recognize that amendments are indispensable. Super, one of the most vocal among
progressive critics of the convention idea, wrote on this
blog last February that Congress might give us “some genuinely useful
amendments,” even if not dramatic ones. Unfortunately, that is fantasy. Today’s
ultra-polarized Congress could never muster two-thirds of both chambers even for
no-brainer amendments – such as allowing immigrants naturalized over 15 years
ago to run for president, or prohibiting anyone who would be over age 80 on
inauguration day from running for president, or outlawing self-pardons – that
over 80% of Americans would support. The same Equal Rights Amendment that
passed Congress in the 1970s would not pass today. Congress has even stalled an
amendment devised by a bipartisan panel of experts to provide emergency
continuity following an attack on Congress itself. No, a convention really
is our only hope for even those simple amendments that could restore the
average voter’s hope in American democracy’s self-corrective potential. II.
Next, the paranoia. Super is correct in his August 2023 Newsweek editorial that far-right groups hope to use a convention
to destroy federal powers to provide social guarantees, protect the environment
and public health, regulate corporations, and limit skyrocketing inequalities
in wealth. But without constitutional reform, today’s radicalized Supreme Court
looks set to accomplish much of this agenda by itself, sometimes by invoking
vague Tenth Amendment language. Its gutting of administrative interpretation
powers by overturning
Chevron is only the most recent
step in limiting regulative oversight. When
responding to Jonathan Kowal in the Newsweek
exchange, Super argued that state laws will let 29 Republican-dominated state
governments hand-pick MAGA convention delegates to force through extreme
amendments on a one-vote-per-state basis. He forgets that, as
Kowal argued, Congress has a big role to play here. It can assert its
authority to (a) mandate popular elections of non-partisan delegates to the new
convention; (b) establish some proportional relation between state populations
and their number of voting delegates, and (c) decide that in the convention,
final votes to pass amendment proposals onto the states require a simple
majority of invididual delegates. The federal law determining how a national
convention should work must supersede state laws – and that law could say
explicitly that federal courts have no jurisdiction over the rules Congress
lays down on this topic. Re
(a), there are plenty of grounds for resisting CoS pretenses that state
governments can or should entirely determine this process. As John Vile argues
in his insightful 2016 book, Convention
Wisdom, if state legislators control the convention calls and later
ratification of the convention’s proposals, they should definitely not also fill the convention itself: checks
and balances are essential within the Article V convention process (p.146).
Vile here develops Walter Dellinger’s famous argument that the framers did not
want states to enact amendments without the intervention of “a national forum,”
which is the convention (p.105). So
I follow Lessig and Pozen in
holding not only that apportioned delegates should be chosen in special
elections, and they should not be identified with political parties on the ballots
– although I am open to Levinson’s suggestion to select delegates from each
state by lottery from a qualified pool of citizens, as long as they could each
take one non-voting expert with them (compare Vile p.140). On the former
option, (i) delegates should be elected at-large statewide to avoid
gerrymandering of delegate districts, and (ii) on ranked-choice ballots to
enable automatic runoffs – as in Alaska’s recent federal elections. This
handles large numbers of candidates well and should produce more centrist
delegates overall. Consider
also Pozen’s
point that for a century, state legislators have been declining as a
percentage of those elected to state constitutional conventions. For a national
convention, we should mandate in the enabling federal law that delegates (iii)
not have held any government job within the last 10 years, and (iv) be disabled
from holding any government job – at any level – for a decade after the
convention. Such requirements would be wildly popular with most of the American
public and reduce the danger of political elites and party bosses dominating a
national convention. (v) The enabling law could also ban all campaign donations
over $50 per individual donor to candidates for delegate seats, limit spending
by candidate campaigns – and exempt this from the Court’s jurisdiction – to
reduce the danger of dark money influences (see Super’s September
2018 post on this blog). (vi) Mandating that the convention operate in
closed session with official records of its proceedings kept secret for 20
years can further reduce the potential for bribery. Re
(b), as Vile notes, larger population states are extremely unlikely to issue
calls for a convention if there is no apportionment of voting power to state populations
within the enabling law (p.121). California cannot have the same vote as
Wyoming; Texas also deserves a lot more say than Vermont on what amendments get
proposed. Moreover, because “states already have equal weight in the
ratification process” (p.138, p.135), small states can hardly demand to get the
same vote as large states within the convention stage too. However,
there is no need for a close proportion of delegates to state populations,
which would make the convention too large. I suggest a number of delegates for
each state equal to one third of its presidential electors, rounding all
fractions down – with two delegates added for Puerto Rico and one for
Washington, DC. On a quick calculation, this would result in 167 elected
delegates, which is a number small enough to facilitate serious deliberation
(compare Vile, p.138). Re
(c), it may be tempting to think that requiring some supermajority of delegates
– or even of state delegations – is needed to ensure compromise amendments that
enough states will probably ratify. This is a mistake: the biggest problem will
be getting enough delegates in the convention to compromise and reach simple
majorities on any very significant constitutional reforms. Vile rightly warns
that supermajority requirements risk causing the convention to fail, resulting
in “public disillusionment” (p.116). Delegates, considering the enormous
historical reputation they each have at stake, will already be unlikely to pass
extremely partisan proposals unless they are mere rubber stamps for MAGA
statehouses – which the special election of nonpartisan delegates insulated
from monetary incentives prevents. Citizen-delegates conscious of the weight of
history, as they retread Madison’s and Sherman’s steps, will be a far less
polarized group then our Congress (p.128): they will want to craft ratifiable amendments, not extreme
scorched earth proposals. As
path dependency analyses could predict, proposals that pass a convention by
slim simple majorities could well get ratified if large percentages of the
general public likes them, because passage out of convention carries a huge threshold effect. When major pieces of
centrist reform are just one step away from becoming constitutional law, they
will galvanize enormous public movements behind them that could swamp the
current MAGA majorities even in today’s deep red statehouses that Super rightly
fears. The prospect of amendment ratification could easily double popular participation in electing state legislators. Super
and his CCC allies surely recognize that such massive increases in turnout,
especially among young voters, almost universally favor progressive causes. That
is why voter suppression has become the highest priority of far-right
statehouses. To give enough time for popular support to grow, Congress should
allow a 20-year window for ratification in the enabling statute. And, as I suggested
in The Democracy Amendments, if we
cannot get rule (c) into the law, a good fallback option is to allow passage by
two routes: either a simple majority of delegations or by 60% of individual
delegates. Finally,
as Larry Lessig and Sandy Levinson have repeatedly argued, it is clear that
even with the threshold effect of proposal by a convention, no extreme MAGA
amendment will get ratified by the required three-quarters of states. Even if
they get Pennsylvania and Ohio, they would still need to get all but one state
among Nevada, New Mexico, Delaware, Illinois, Virginia, and Washington. Because
that is not going to happen, an ALEC-railroaded convention would be totally
self-defeating: only compromise and no-brainer amendments will get ratified. Yet
in his March 2024 testimony to the Connecticut House urging it to rescind its
call for a convention, Super turned this key point entirely around and claimed
that ALEC must therefore be planning to disregard the current Article V
ratification requirement and demand that a simple majority in a national
popular vote ratify its pet-convention’s proposals. This requires us to imagine
that a convention would take revolutionary action, and that neither Congress
nor the Supreme Court would block so outlandish a move. Rather, a convention is
more likely to propose an amendment to Article V itself that might allow direct
ratification by some national percentage of voters. But this would have to be
ratified in today’s process, like other amendments proposed by a convention. III.
Turning from paranoia to creative vision and smart strategy, Super and I at
least agree that convention delegates, once called, would be federal
officeholders whose discussions and agreements cannot be narrowly pre-scripted
by state calls for a convention. Nor can Congress refuse to forward for
ratification any proposals voted out of convention that arguably go beyond the
topics listed in state calls (for this, as Vile notes, would “subvert the
Founder’s intention” to provide a way of bypassing congressional opposition to
widely supported amendments [p.122]). But recognizing that delegates need room
to deliberate should be cause for hope: it means that a convention could craft
new breakthrough bargains. Would it really be so terrible if the nation
ratified an amendment that both limited budget deficits – which do threaten to
saddle our children with crippling debt – and eliminated the Electoral College
in the same article? More
broadly, progressives should look at where they could productively compromise
in exchange for great constitutional gains. For example, ask yourself if you
would allow states to give public funding to religious schools, if in return
you could overturn Citizens United and
establish strict election spending limits? Or allow states to regulate
transgender athletes in return for strong federal voting rights? Or let
two-thirds of statehouses overturn a federal law in return for outlawing the
filibuster? Or set a (fairly long) term limit on federal representatives and
senators – even if this is likely to be counterproductive – in exchange for
setting an 18-year term limit on Supreme Court justices? Would you ratify an
amendment that legalizes prayer in schools and mandates ranked choice voting in
all federal elections? Or that requires some minimum of political balance in
college courses while also mandating a robust two-semester civics requirement
in high school? I sure would. This
is the first key strategic point: smart progressives can use the rabid
appetites of MAGA reactionaries for culture-war victories and “states rights” symbolism
as effective bargaining chips in a convention that will ultimately wrest
control of the national government from today’s minority red-state domination.
The biggest prize would be an amendment that ends the Senate’s power to kill
House-passed bills, as opposed to merely delaying them. This strategy is
feasible only if the convention
retains some freedom to deliberate and bargain, rather than being rigidly
hamstrung by instructions from the states or Congress. This
brings us to the second key strategic point: fortune in this process will
massively favor whoever writes the federal law specifying how the calls are
counted, how the delegates are apportioned and chosen, and how the convention
passes proposals. Otherwise put, there is a huge first-mover advantage here. And today’s progressive
convention-phobes are doing everthing possible to ensure that this advantage
goes to the Koch brothers and MAGA Republicans instead. Their just-say-no
strategy virtually ensures that, when crises finally pushes more states to call
for a convention, the only blueprint familiar to members of Congress and state
legislators will be the ALEC-written convention plan, which would enable statehouses
to dominate all three phases – calls, convention action, and ratification.
Super’s fears are most likely to be realized precisely because, by forfeiting
the field, progressives enable a MAGA majority in Congress to write the federal
convention enabling law. This is like shooting oneself in both feet
simultaneously. What,
then, should progressives do whenever
– by some miracle – they next control both chambers of Congress and the White
House? They should pass the convention statute sketched above by exempting it
from the filibuster, and insulate it from federal court oversight. The law
should also say that all proposals passed by the convention will go
automatically to the states, which must hold special elections – via a process also
detailed in the statute – for state ratifying conventions conducted by state
delegates subject to the same restrictions as federal delates. This would
further erode the power of those MAGA state capitols. The law can provide that
any proposed amendments which state conventions fail to ratify within two years
after the convention are then open for state legislatures to ratify (by simple
majority votes, in extraordinary joint sessions, without needing the governor’s
signature) for the subsequent 18 years. The
aim throughout is to make it at least somewhat more feasible to ratify
amendments under our draconian 75% of states current requirement. This starts
with doing what is needed to ensure that a national convention happens. The
biggest procedural problem for this smart strategy is the pressure coming not
only from ALEC’s CoS movement but also from many moderates and progressives to
limit a convention to discussion and proposals on topics listed in the state
calls. While I cannot evaluate here the many well-known legal arguments
concerning whether a convention may be limited, I agree with Vile that overly restricting
a convention’s agenda would defeat much of its likely benefits by blocking full
deliberation and dealmaking needed to produce ratifiable proposals (see p.116,
pp.122-23, and ch.10). Worse, the premise that convention delegates can only
vote on proposals pre-scripted in state calls provides Congress with an endless
excuse for never calling a new convention on the pretext that 34 states have
not issued exactly the same call (see Vile p.132 quoting Robert Berry). So
a smart Democratic majority in Congress should cobble together whatever extant
state calls it can and rule that the threshold of 34 has been reached, ignoring
any attempted limitations that statehouses have built into those calls. If red
states attempt to rescind their calls, that is the point at which to bargain
over details in the enabling law – having started, perhaps, from a provision
giving states a number of delegates equal to half of their electors rather than a third, and three for Puerto
Rico. What
if Congress claims to have 34 valid calls and passes a joint resolution to call
a convention, but some deep-red statehouses decide to boycott and refuse to
hold elections for delegates? While the enabling law could claim the authority
to commandeer state officials for purposes of organizing a convention and
electing delegates, there would also be great strategic advantage if just a
handful of the most MAGA states got away with not participating in the
convention. The original convention might have failed entirely with Rhode
Island present; if only Delaware had also boycotted, the “grand compromise” of
1787 might have also gone better for large states. The enabling statute for a
new convention should therefore say that 51% of states (26) constitutes a
quorum. Democrats who wrote the law would then need only a handful of swing
states to join them in seating delegates and getting the convention started.
Even if 13-16 red states boycotted, given the threshold effect noted earlier,
amendments they had no hand in drafting might still get ratified – much as
Rhode Island was eventually forced to knuckle under in 1790. However,
unfortunately Vile is also correct that fears of an “unlimited” or “runaway”
convention – which is often conflated with a revolutionary one of the sort that
Super describes – remains the biggest obstacles to getting enough state calls
(p.110, p.120), even though calls for limited conventions only appeared in the
20th century (p.77). To reassure constituents panicked by doomsayers
who predict that a convention will tear up the entire constitution, the
enabling law can require a convention to deliberate substantially and vote on
every issue mentioned in all extant and valid state calls, while not limiting
the convention to discuss only these
topics narrowly construed. It can also say that amendments altering the Bill of
Rights are not germane. This could reassure statehouses that a convention will
be “safe” and compatible with stable rule of law. At the same time, progressives
can start grassroots campaigns in every state that allows ballot initiatives in
order to get questions onto ballots asking voters directly whether their state
should call for a convention to consider issues x, y, z, etc. Together, these
salutary measures can help us get to 34 calls (assuming this is necessary). Finally,
the law can also require the convention to consider those no-brainer amendments
that I mentioned earlier, starting with the ERA (note that there is no language
in Article V prohibiting Congress from adding its own agenda items to those
suggested by state governments). This would help to ensure that the convention
produces at least a few amendments that are almost certain to be ratified,
given enough time for public pressure to build. That is crucial for restoring
public hope and educating the public to see that the convention process can
work. Such an outcome makes it much more likely that another convention could
be called within 10-20 years later to forge bigger breakthroughs that break the
two-party stranglehold, reduce political polarization, and restore the federal
government to working order. All
this is within our grasp if only enough progressives will put aside their
unwarranted terrors and open their eyes to the prospects that a national
convention – when well-designed – makes possible. But for this to work, we have
to engage and fight for our preferred
version of a convention, before events overtake us unprepared. It is time to
put fears aside and get moving. John Davenport is Professor of Philosophy and Director of Peace and Justice Studies at Fordham University. You can reach him by e-mail at davenport@fordham.edu.
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