| Balkinization   |
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Balkinization
Jack Balkin: jackbalkin at yahoo.com Bruce Ackerman bruce.ackerman at yale.edu Ian Ayres ian.ayres at yale.edu Corey Brettschneider corey_brettschneider at brown.edu Mary Dudziak mary.l.dudziak at emory.edu Joey Fishkin joey.fishkin at gmail.com Heather Gerken heather.gerken at yale.edu Abbe Gluck abbe.gluck at yale.edu Mark Graber mgraber at law.umaryland.edu Stephen Griffin sgriffin at tulane.edu Jonathan Hafetz jonathan.hafetz at shu.edu Jeremy Kessler jkessler at law.columbia.edu Andrew Koppelman akoppelman at law.northwestern.edu Marty Lederman msl46 at law.georgetown.edu Sanford Levinson slevinson at law.utexas.edu David Luban david.luban at gmail.com Gerard Magliocca gmaglioc at iupui.edu Jason Mazzone mazzonej at illinois.edu Linda McClain lmcclain at bu.edu John Mikhail mikhail at law.georgetown.edu Frank Pasquale pasquale.frank at gmail.com Nate Persily npersily at gmail.com Michael Stokes Paulsen michaelstokespaulsen at gmail.com Deborah Pearlstein dpearlst at yu.edu Rick Pildes rick.pildes at nyu.edu David Pozen dpozen at law.columbia.edu Richard Primus raprimus at umich.edu K. Sabeel Rahmansabeel.rahman at brooklaw.edu Alice Ristroph alice.ristroph at shu.edu Neil Siegel siegel at law.duke.edu David Super david.super at law.georgetown.edu Brian Tamanaha btamanaha at wulaw.wustl.edu Nelson Tebbe nelson.tebbe at brooklaw.edu Mark Tushnet mtushnet at law.harvard.edu Adam Winkler winkler at ucla.edu Compendium of posts on Hobby Lobby and related cases The Anti-Torture Memos: Balkinization Posts on Torture, Interrogation, Detention, War Powers, and OLC The Anti-Torture Memos (arranged by topic) Recent Posts Interposition, Intention, and Intellectual History Rescuing Interposition Brackeen’s Missteps & The Need for Neutral History Branching Out from Legislative Resistance The Twisted History Of An “Original” Concept Where We are in Political Time - Biden's Reconstructive Strategy States of Denial Where We are in Political Time - The Post- Reagan Interregnum and Trump's Revolutionary Politics Christian Fritz on The Continuing Mysteries (and Challenges) of Constitutional Politics in a Federal System Balkinization Symposium on Christian Fritz, Monitoring American Federalism The House Freedom Caucus is Revolting Balkinization Symposium on David Schleicher', In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises - Collected Posts Honoring John Bingham A Confession of Error Leaving Us In a Good State: Responses to and Appreciation for Comments on In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises The Second Indictment of Donald Trump David Schleicher’s Lessons for Modern China The Future of State Politics: How Can We Get to a Good State? John Bingham Event in Ohio Pension Underfunding is Just a Form of Debt Budget Deal as Rorschach Test
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Tuesday, June 20, 2023
Interposition, Intention, and Intellectual History
Guest Blogger
Monday, June 19, 2023
Rescuing Interposition
Guest Blogger
For the Balkinization symposium on Christian G. Fritz, Monitoring American Federalism: The History of State Legislative Resistance (Cambridge University Press, 2023). David
S. Schwartz Christian
Fritz’s impressive new book, Monitoring American Federalism, examines the
antebellum history of “interposition” by state legislatures to resist purported
federal intrusions on their sovereign prerogatives. Professor Fritz offers an
illuminating narrative history that recounts numerous episodes of state
legislative resistance of various sorts. Some of these have been largely
overlooked by constitutional scholars; I was fascinated to learn, for example, that
the right of states to question the constitutionality of federal laws through merely
declaratory resolutions was sharply contested in the early republic. Many other
episodes are well known, but take on a subtly and significantly different cast
when viewed, as Professor Fritz views them, as part of a pattern of a
particular form of state resistance. His narrative of the legislative debates
leading to the Virginia and Kentucky Resolutions is invaluable. Also noteworthy
is Professor Fritz’s suggestion that a protocol of state legislative
interposition was outlined, in inchoate form at least, in The Federalist.
All these make Professor Fritz’s book a worthy contribution to the literature
of the constitutional history and development of U.S. ideas of federalism, by adding
to our historical knowledge base about federalism. I found greater
value in Monitoring American Federalism as a historical narrative than
as an argument that reframes our thinking about federalism. The book seems to
comprise two distinct, but closely-related and largely overlapping claims: one
defending James Madison, and the other defending state “interposition.” The
more compact thesis argues that a longstanding concept of “interposition,”
expressed in its most developed form by Madison in the Virginia Resolutions of
1798 and the Virginia Report of 1800, was distorted and misunderstood by the
“nullifiers” of the late 1820s and early 1830s. The supposed distortion of
interposition was expounded by John C. Calhoun and other proponents of the
“South Carolina doctrine” that undergirded the Nullification Crisis of 1832-33.
This argument by Professor Fritz would, by itself, be sufficiently important to
sustain a book of this length, and the compact thesis (subtle pun there) is
successful insofar as it offers a salient and closely argued claim that must be
taken seriously. Although Professor Fritz’s argument will likely be
well-received by Madison scholars, most of whom are Madison admirers and some
of whom are Madison apologists, I’m unpersuaded for reasons I will explain. The other claim
functions somewhat as a large container, with the more compact Madison defense
rattling around inside. This is the “history of state legislative resistance” promised
in the book’s subtitle, and while the narrative is quite rich, its overarching
argument is less of a thesis than an enveloping normative haze. Professor Fritz
seems to be suggesting that what he defines as “interposition” is on balance a
good thing, and that its continuing practice somehow demonstrates, or perhaps
ensures, that “the national government cannot do whatever it wants and ride roughshod
over the states.” (p. 306) The key to the
book, therefore, is Professor Fritz’s definition of interposition. This, he
says, consists entirely (and merely) of state legislatures “sounding the alarm”
about unconstitutional federal laws and taking a limited set of steps stopping
short of nullification or other tangible resistance measures: issuing
declaratory resolutions, corresponding with other state legislatures, rallying
public opinion, lobbying Congress, and—if necessary—pursuing constitutional amendment.
With this definition before us, I’ll consider the two claims in turn. Brackeen’s Missteps & The Need for Neutral History
Guest Blogger
Sunday, June 18, 2023
Branching Out from Legislative Resistance
Guest Blogger
Friday, June 16, 2023
The Twisted History Of An “Original” Concept
Guest Blogger
For the Balkinization symposium on Christian G. Fritz, Monitoring American Federalism: The History of State Legislative Resistance (Cambridge University Press, 2023). Edward A. Purcell, Jr. In Monitoring American
Federalism Christian G. Fritz has written a thorough and insightful study
of the role states and state legislatures have played in using ideas of
“interposition” to “monitor” the federal system and check overreaching by the
federal government. While the book
concentrates on the decades from ratification to the Civil War, its last pages
sketch its story briefly up to the present. Three central theses deserve
note. First, the book argues that
interposition was an “original” idea that emerged in the ratification debate. Promoted by both Alexander Hamilton and James
Madison in the Federalist, it evolved over the centuries into a variety
of forms and continues to operate today in the practice of American
federalism. Second, the book insists that
“nullification” was not part of original interpositionism but began to develop
only in the early decades of the nineteenth century under the spur of slavery
and ultimately the leadership of John C. Calhoun. Originally interposition referred only to the
right and duty of states and their legislatures to lodge protests, petition
Congress, and circularize other states in warning that some action of the
national government transgressed constitutional limits. It was a procedural device intended to play a
“benign and logical role” in the federal system (37). Third, the book focuses on Madison
and argues that he maintained a consistent theoretical position from his Federalist
essays through the Virginia Resolutions and his Report of 1800 and on to the
1830s when he rejected nullification and repudiated Calhoun’s theories. In spite of his consistency, the different
contexts in which he addressed interposition and the “convoluted words” he
sometimes used meant that his ideas were commonly misunderstood and often
purposely twisted. This was especially
true for his “language about the theoretical right of the sovereign people to
interpose in the last resort,” Professor Fritz specifies. Indulging “his need to declare a principle of
constitutional theory,” Madison “unwittingly provided the raw materials for
future constitutional catastrophe” (127). Thursday, June 15, 2023
Where We are in Political Time - Biden's Reconstructive Strategy
JB
In yesterday's post on where we are in political time, I explained that we are currently in an interregnum following the collapse of the Reagan regime with two different candidates for reconstructive leadership, one by Trump, and the other by Biden and the Democrats. In the last post, I discussed the Trumpist alternative. In this post, I'll discuss Biden's approach to the interregnum. Joe Biden's strategy for forming a new regime has been the opposite of Trump's Where Trump presents himself as a revolutionary, Biden presents himself as the apostle of sane, stable government, as the protector of democracy, and as the restorer of a sense of political unity and common purpose. Is it possible to become a reconstructive leader when what you promise is a return to normalcy and you are not at the head of a rising social movement? That does not exactly fit past examples of reconstructive leadership, but only time will tell. Reconstructive leaders from Jefferson onward have tried to present themselves as unifiers, even if their actual policies were revolutionary and partisan. States of Denial
Guest Blogger
Wednesday, June 14, 2023
Where We are in Political Time - The Post- Reagan Interregnum and Trump's Revolutionary Politics
JB
My 2020 book, The Cycles of Constitutional Time, was finished in late 2019 and I made minor adjustments in 2020, just as the pandemic was starting but before the 2020 election and the January 6th, 2021 coup attempt. It's only three and a half years ago but it seems like ages. In Cycles I argued that the Reagan regime was ending and that a new regime would form in the next five to ten years, probably one with the Democrats as the dominant party, although there was a chance that Trump would form a new Republican regime organized around White Christian nationalism. What do things look like today? Christian Fritz on The Continuing Mysteries (and Challenges) of Constitutional Politics in a Federal System
Sandy Levinson
For the Balkinization symposium on Christian G. Fritz, Monitoring American Federalism: The History of State Legislative Resistance (Cambridge University Press, 2023). Christian Fritz’s is one of the
relatively few historians who have taken with suitable seriousness the
implications of “popular sovereignty” and the idea that governmental legitimacy
is presumptively dependent on the continued commitment by “we the people” to
the acts of governments that may act in our name because they have been
authorized to do so by the sovereign demos.
His earlier book, American
Sovereigns: The People and America's Constitutional Tradition Before the Civil
War (2007) demonstrated the continued
possession by many Americans of a sense of their sovereign authority. They were not content to become the “sleeping
sovereigns” envisioned by Thomas Hobbes, which was most certainly the vision of
the Framers with regard to the Constitution of 1787. Just read Federalist 63 and the proud
assertion by Madison that the actual demos has no role whatsoever to
play in making any concrete decisions.
Everything will be done through “representatives.” As Fritz so well establishes, though, in
their capacity as citizens of states, Americans often viewed themselves
as genuine agents, not at all confined to a comatose reality. Instead, they felt themselves free to act on
the premise set out in the Declaration of Independence that they had the right
to “alter and abolish” governments at will if that appeared conducive to
achieving their public happiness. Acting on such
beliefs, they seceded not only from the British Empire in 1776, but also from
New York and New Hampshire to construct Vermont. Later, far more unsuccessfully, there were
attempts by citizens of several other states to found new breakaway states of
Franklin or Transylvania. Or, perhaps
more significantly, citizens of several states, including Kentucky, felt
altogether entitled to organize new constitutional conventions to amend or supplant existing state
constitutions, whatever formal authorization might (or might not) be found in
the existing state constitutions. All
the while, of course, the national citizenry has basically remained asleep,
acceding to Madison’s devout wish, in Federalist 49, that they
“venerate” the United States Constitution and, in effect, never even think of
having a second national convention. Fritz’s new book, Monitoring
American Federalism: The History of
State Legislative Resistance, is also essential reading. It casts tremendous new light on the
actualities of the American federal system.
The “state legislative resistance” alluded to in the title is alleged
overreach by a would-be dominant national government. The vision expressed is not at all filing
lawsuits in federal courts, but instead a far more active “interposition” by
state legislatures, deemed to be thoroughly “representative” of their
constituents, that attempt, in Fritz’s key metaphor, to “sound the alarm” about
threats to the American constitutional order posed by national overreach. Balkinization Symposium on Christian Fritz, Monitoring American Federalism
JB
At the conclusion, Chris will respond to the commentators. Tuesday, June 13, 2023
The House Freedom Caucus is Revolting
David Super
I could not
resist. Last week, eleven House Members aligned
with the House Freedom Caucus voted down the “rule” allowing debate on several
hyper-partisan Republican message bills.
Because all Democrats also opposed the rule – a resolution limiting time
and amendments in a debate – the rule failed.
The Republican rebels told the leadership they would block any other
rule sent to the floor, and the House largely shut down. Speaker Kevin
McCarthy worked through the week to try to win back the dissidents, to no
avail. He and House Majority Leader
Steve Scalise then traded blame in the news media. That is not altogether surprising as Rep.
Scalise has spent the year watching Rep. McCarthy like a cat eying the failing
door to a canary’s cage. Eventually, the
leadership sent Members home with no prospect of being able to hold votes. Last night, the
Freedom Caucus rebels agreed to support a rule to allow a few select bills to
move forward. No doubt they were moved
by the importance of these measures: to
prohibit the government from outlawing gas stoves (which it has no plans to
do), to completely break administrative law (not being satisfied with the
efforts of the Supreme Court and agency sclerosis in that regard), and to
prevent federal agencies from outlawing gun braces favored by mass shooters. The rebels indicated that this was a one-off agreement
and they would continue to prevent the leadership from bringing most
legislation to the floor until they perceived a return to the power-sharing
agreement they believe they negotiated in January in exchange for making Rep.
McCarthy speaker. The immediate
effect of this rebellion is real but hardly cosmic. None of the bills they blocked has any chance
of passing becoming law, even in modified form.
Because bipartisan compromise has become hypertoxic in the GOP, most of
the House’s “work” consists of labor-intensive publicity stunts, never designed
to change this nation’s laws. Even bills
that are real, such as appropriations bills, do not need to pass for several
months. House and Senate appropriators have
often worked out de facto conference agreements on bills that had passed
neither chamber. And the House still
has several ways to pass legislation.
Legislation with substantial bipartisan support can be brought up under
a motion to suspend the rules. Suspension
requires a 2/3 majority, but that does not require any Freedom Caucus votes. The Republican leadership also could
negotiate with Democrats on rules to bring legislation to the floor. By tradition, the majority party refuses to negotiate
with the minority about the terms of a rule and the minority party unanimously
votes against that rule. Nothing in the
structure of House procedure, however, entrenches that tradition. Democrats will not agree to rules to bring up
absurd Republican messaging bills, but they would on significantly bipartisan bills
and they might even on some bills with wholly Republican support if given a
fair chance to offer amendments. If this
episode opens the door to the kind of negotiated procedural agreements that are
common in the Senate, it will make the House a much better place. Nonetheless, this
is enough of a thorn in the leadership’s side that this impasse surely will not
last. The Freedom Caucus Members’ anger
springs in part from their dissatisfaction with the debt limit deal Speaker
McCarthy negotiated with President Biden.
They are demanding that the House unilaterally reduce discretionary
spending far below the agreed-upon levels.
And on Monday, House Appropriations Chair Kay Granger promised
to do just that. The White House howled
that this violates the Biden-McCarthy agreement. It is difficult to
predict where appropriations will end up. This obviously illustrates the pitfalls of bitter
opponents reaching an agreement that they know from the start will be represented
very differently by both sides. Speaker
McCarthy did this with the Freedom Caucus in January and again with President
Biden last month. I suspect he is busily
trying to do it a third time with the Freedom Caucus now. The levels Rep.
Granger is proposing could force Members to vote for painful cuts that interest
groups and donors may dislike. If they
believe that those cuts will not survive negotiations with the Senate and the White
House, they may resist “walking the plank for nothing.” On the other hand, Rep. Granger may be able
to take most of the cuts out of environmental, anti-poverty, civil rights, and
other activities largely undefended by Republican-aligned interest groups. Freedom Caucus
Members may be satisfied with voting for austere appropriations bills in the
House and accept conference agreements conforming to the Biden-McCarthy
agreement, but that would be out of character.
Therefore, a government shutdown seems very possible in October. Because Democrats agreed to an automatic,
year-round continuing resolution with one-percent nominal (about five percent
real) across-the-board cuts if full appropriations bills are not agreed by
January 1, they may be reluctant to pass stop-gap extensions postponing the
shutdown deeper into the fall. On the
other hand, the prospect of a five-percent real cut in defense spending may
bring Republicans with bases or defense factories in their districts to the
bargaining table. Papering over unresolved
differences through his phantom
agreement with Speaker McCarthy did allow President Biden to avoid a national
default. A partial government shutdown
will be far less damaging to the nation and hence a better venue for this fight. On the other hand, using technical means or
the Fourteenth Amendment to smite the debt limit dragon once and for all would
have accomplished the same thing – and would have avoided the other substantive
and rhetorical
concessions be made in that deal. More broadly, the
Freedom Caucus revolt is taking us incrementally closer to a de facto
multi-party system. Speaker McCarthy
lacks a loyal majority and will need the support of either the Freedom Caucus
or the Democrats to pass anything. Overwhelmingly
he will choose to negotiate with the Freedom Caucus because many of his
loyalists are vulnerable to primaries should they vote with Democrats and
because significant Republican support is needed in the Senate for anything to
become law. But the more the Freedom
Caucus begins to act like an independent party, and the more it changes House
rules and customs to accommodate its desire to exercise an independent check on
Speaker McCarthy, the more other factions may be inclined to do the same in the
future. As someone who believes our nation’s
political differences are now too broad to be accommodated within two parties –
and someone who believes most Republicans will not denounce right-wing demagogues
without a safe political home in another party – I regard that as good
news. One immediate
lesson I hope progressives will take from the Freedom Caucus’s revolt is that it
is both wrong and dangerous to assume that the far right is foolish. Some Freedom Caucus Members certainly are
(although some Democrats are not the brightest bulbs in the chandelier,
either). But overall, the Freedom Caucus
Members have shown impressive strategic judgment. Perhaps most importantly, while some of its
Members were blocking Speaker McCarthy’s accession in January and bringing the
House to a halt last week, others with just as extreme views – such as Reps.
Jim Jordan and Marjorie Taylor Greene – have been gaining influence within the
leadership by steadfastly defending the Speaker. If we end up seeing social programs and
general government cut much more than President Biden claimed his deal allowed,
I hope some progressives will ask themselves if they really are so much smarter
than Reps. Andy Biggs and Marjorie Taylor Greene. The far right’s effective inside-outside game
demands a much more strategic response than posting videos in which this or
that conservative is inarticulate or gets “taken down” by some progressive. @DavidASuper1
Monday, June 12, 2023
Balkinization Symposium on David Schleicher', In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises - Collected Posts
JB
2. Vince Buccola, Historical Empiricism and the Schleicher Trilemma 3. Noah Kazis, David Schleicher’s Trilemma Trilemma 4. Daniel B. Rodriguez, State Constitutions as Fiscal Fulcrum 5. Clayton P. Gillette, Can Courts Resolve the Trilemma? 6. Christopher J. Tyson, Response to In a Bad State 7. Sheila R. Foster, Planning for Fiscal Resiliency in a Fragmented World 8. Amy Monahan, Pension Underfunding is Just a Form of Debt 9. Miriam Seifter, The Future of State Politics: How Can We Get to a Good State? 10. Rick Hills, David Schleicher’s Lessons for Modern China 11, David Schleicher, Leaving Us In a Good State: Responses to and Appreciation for Comments on In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises Sunday, June 11, 2023
Honoring John Bingham
Gerard N. Magliocca
As I mentioned last week, I was in Cadiz, OH for John Bingham's first national honor. The local Post Office was renamed for him. Here is a news story on the event. Friday, June 09, 2023
A Confession of Error
Richard Primus
In 2018, in a law-review article titled "The Essential Characteristic:" Enumerated Powers and the Bank of the United States, I wrote that in Congress's 1791 debate over creating the Bank, New Jersey Representative Elias Boudinot read the Constitution's Preamble as a grant of powers, such that Congress was authorized to charter the Bank if doing so would advance the ends of government mentioned in the Preamble, even if nothing in the Constitution's subsequent Articles specifically authorized it to do so. (See 117 Michigan Law Review 415, 463.) This week I am re-reading the relevant original sources, and I have concluded that I misread Boudinot's argument. I now think that he did not make the argument about the Preamble that I attributed to him in 2018. I still believe that the more general argument I was making in my 2018 article is correct. That argument was that several members of Congress argued that Congress's power to charter the Bank did not depend on any specific enumerated power--that is, that Congress could at least sometimes legislate on bases other than that of textually specified grants of power, and that chartering the Bank was one of those times. That argument did not rest on my claim about Boudinot's reading of the Preamble alone, and it remains the case that members of Congress did make non-enumerated-power arguments for the Bank, including arguments from the Preamble. But I should not have included this argument that I attributed to Boudinot among the evidence. That was error. Leaving Us In a Good State: Responses to and Appreciation for Comments on In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises
Guest Blogger
First, I’d just like to thank everyone involved in this
symposium. Writing a book is a solitary
experience, and it is just wonderful to have so many people I admire commenting
on my work. Special thanks to my
wonderful colleague Jack Balkin for organizing it. This blog is a wonder – I’ve been a fan for
as long as it has existed -- and it’s an honor to get to have its pages devoted
to comments on my book. Second, before I go through some specific responses, I want
to note how excellent the responses are.
When writing the In
a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises, I had to make
a number of choices about how to explain the ideas, what to include and what to
exclude -- a book like this, which is on the shorter side for an academic work,
has to make some pretty hard choices. Further,
the argument relies on some assumptions that I thought were reasonable but were
certainly assumptions. And then there
are assumptions and choices that I didn’t quite realize I was making, but when
pointed out and challenged, are clearly there. One of the great things about these responses is that they –
to a post – find the soft spots in the argument, as well as (much too kindly!)
noting the achievements of the book. I
hope that they are read alongside the book, a guide to understanding both how
the book succeeds and its limitations.
I’ll respond to each in turn, but mostly just to appreciate how smart and
well-done they all are. On to the meat…. Thursday, June 08, 2023
The Second Indictment of Donald Trump
Gerard N. Magliocca
After the first indictment of Donald Trump, I said that the decision in New York would make a second indictment more likely. Now we are about to see that prediction come true. The second indictment, of course, makes a third indictment (in Georgia) more likely. Though neither the New York nor the federal indictment relate to January 6th, I think they will make people take a harder look at the argument that Trump is ineligible to serve in office again under Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment. The exercise of discretion by election officials (most notably, state Secretaries of State) is informed by the legal zeitgeist. These criminal cases are not just noise. David Schleicher’s Lessons for Modern China
Guest Blogger
Wednesday, June 07, 2023
The Future of State Politics: How Can We Get to a Good State?
Guest Blogger
John Bingham Event in Ohio
Gerard N. Magliocca
On Friday, I will be in Cadiz for the official renaming of the town Post Office for John Bingham. This is the first national honor for Bingham. I will speak at the ceremony along with Representative Bill Johnson (R-OH) and Richard Aynes, the former Dean of the University of Akron Law School. I hope to share some pictures from the event next week. Tuesday, June 06, 2023
Pension Underfunding is Just a Form of Debt
Guest Blogger
For the Balkinization symposium on David Schleicher, In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget Crises (Oxford University Press, 2023). Amy Monahan State and local finance has an enormous impact on the lives
of nearly all Americans, yet is too often ignored in favor of splashier or more
digestible areas of public life. I was therefore delighted to see David
Schleicher’s new book, In a Bad State: Responding to State and Local Budget
Crises, take a sustained look at both the complex world of state and local
finance, and how federal actors might think through whether and how to respond
to state and local fiscal crises. I will begin with a few disclaimers. First, there were so
many interesting issues raised by this book that I had a difficult time
limiting myself to a length appropriate for this online symposium. I have
therefore chosen to highlight just one of many potential discussion points,
which I hope will be of broad interest to readers. Second (and maybe in
contradiction to my first disclaimer regarding broad interest), I am going to
focus my comments on In a Bad State’s treatment of distressed state and
local employee pension plans (referred to as “public pensions” for the sake of simplicity). Monday, June 05, 2023
Budget Deal as Rorschach Test
David Super
A month or so ago,
I expressed
skepticism that Speaker McCarthy had the authority to reach a budget deal that
could get the Democratic votes necessary to pass. Obviously, I was wrong. Accordingly, I am doing what any serious academic
does when events prove them wrong: I am
writing a long-form scholarly article explaining why I was actually correct
after all. (I say that only half-kidding.) In the meantime,
however, it seems useful to consider what factors allowed the deal to surmount
the obstacles that polarization posed. This
analysis draws little from the “inside
accounts”
in the popular media that are almost entirely spin: almost no disinterested parties are present
in these discussions so what they tell the media is instructive only as to what
they want the public to think about their side’s role in the process. So, for example, Republican accounts
emphasize White House staff’s role to further their narrative about President
Biden’s incompetence; Democratic stories try to make this process sound as
different as possible from the negotiation in 2011 – when Speaker John Boehner
bullied and manipulated President Obama and his vice president – to fend off
criticism that they learned little and repeated unpleasant history. The biggest
surprise to me was Speaker McCarthy’s willingness to make himself dependent on
Democratic votes – and most House Republicans’ willingness to allow that. The rule that House Freedom Caucus negotiated
in exchange for allowing Rep. McCarthy to become speaker allow a single Member
to move to declare the speaker’s chair vacant.
If Democrats were to follow ordinary practice and vote against the
Speaker, the Freedom Caucus’s votes would be more than enough to carry the
motion to victory even if the vast majority of House Republicans stayed
loyal. One might expect Democrats would be
pleased to vacate the speaker’s chair:
with no obvious replacement, House Republicans could become locked in
another divisive and embarrassing public fight, supporting Democrats’ narrative
that House Republicans are beholden to extremists. The reason no Freedom
Caucus Member has filed such a motion is clearly that they understand that
Democrats have Speaker McCarthy’s back.
If forty or so Democrats abstain, the same Republican Members that
backed him throughout the votes in January would be enough to preserve his gavel. A Republican official depending on Democratic
votes would ordinarily be disqualifying, but apparently the majority of their
Members have wearied of the Freedom Caucus enough to accept it. Rep. Thomas Massie, a right-wing Member added
to the House Rules Committee at the Freedom Caucus’s insistence, recognized how
embarrassing this situation is for the Speaker and voted to bring the deal to
the floor so that the Speaker would not need Democratic votes in
Committee. But everyone knew Democrats
would help if needed. This does not mean
that Speaker McCarthy is now a coalition speaker or that he will not zealously advocate
for many extreme Freedom Caucus positions.
But it does mean that on issues where many of his Members agree with
Democrats, such as aid to Ukraine, he has some latitude to bypass the Freedom Caucus. Even without the Freedom Caucus, however, several
election cycles of primaries and forced retirements have yielded a quite extreme
set of House Republicans so little true moderation is likely. Also surprising
about the final budget deal was how effectively leaders on both sides managed
to induce and manipulate wishful thinking by their Members. On issue after issue, each leader managed to
find just the right kind of complexity or ambiguity to allow Members to see
what they wanted to see. For example, the
deal has six years of spending caps that will force huge real cuts in what the
federal government
is able to do domestically. Two of those
caps are backed with the threat of sequestration; the other four are not. Speaker McCarthy accordingly claimed that he
had won six years of caps and calculated huge savings numbers. Because his Members were seeking big numbers and
had not bothered to identify particular policies to achieve those numbers, this
went over well. President Biden, on the
other hand, played to the legalism of many Democrats by claiming that the final
four years’ caps were “non-binding”, suggesting that he had outmaneuvered the
Speaker. In practice,
because appropriations levels always require bipartisan agreement no matter who
controls Congress or the White House, Republicans can, and presumably will,
insist that Democrats agreed to these out-year caps and reject any appropriations
bills that exceed them. But Democrats like
to think of Republicans as stupid so the outmaneuvering narrative stuck. Similarly, Speaker
McCarthy won imposition of a three-month time limit on food assistance to unemployed
and underemployed 50- to 54-year-old childless adults – what Republicans call “work
requirements” even though they offer no
chance to work for assistance. The White
House, again playing on Democrats’ conceit that they are more sophisticated than
Republicans, included three exemptions that it claimed would actually increase
the number of people eligible for food assistance. This claim is incorrect for several reasons,
most obviously that states are terrible at recognizing and applying those
exemptions. The largest group the White
House claimed to have protected was the homeless, yet USDA issued guidance
several years ago advising states that homeless people already were generally
exempt. States face audit penalties for
providing food assistance to people who should be disqualified, they face no sanctions
for denying food to people who should be exempt. Finally, I was
surprised at the willingness of Members of both parties to trust their leaders
on the contents of side agreements not included in the legislation on which
they were voting. The explicit cut to
IRS funding appears fairly moderate, but Speaker McCarthy claimed to have a
side agreement for much deeper cuts that would hobble the agency’s ability to
audit affluent tax cheats. This question
could potentially have a huge impact on the deficit as well as on the morale –
and propensity to pay – of non-affluent taxpayers. Similarly, the two sides appear to be contradicting
one another on how much the appropriations caps in the first two years will be softened
by side deals on “adjustments”. On these
issues and others, the vast majority of Members of both parties were content to
tout their leader’s story despite clear evidence that the other side believed
something very different. For all both
sides’ mutual distrust and demands for transparency, opacity won the day. A side note is
that nobody should put any real weight on how either representatives or
senators voted. Speaker McCarthy
promised 150 Republican votes. He missed
that level slightly, but even if he had missed by a great deal the Democrats
would have supplied whatever was needed (including some who took advantage of
the solid majority for passage to vote “no”).
In the Senate, the Democrats’ majority made them responsible for corralling
most of the needed votes. Minority
Leader McConnell was responsible for supplying only enough Republican votes to
invoke cloture, plus a few more to cover for dissents from a few Democrats (who
likely would have voted “yes” if Senator McConnell had stumbled). Perhaps most
interesting was the failure of Sens. Mike Lee or Rand Paul to filibuster: Leaders Schumer and McConnell had the votes
to end debate, but doing so would have taken several days, possibly preventing
final passage before the June 5 deadline Secretary Yellen had announced. They likely concluded that no viable vehicle
existed for locking in additional concessions from Democrats so they would reap
little reward from keeping their colleagues in Washington through the weekend. Finally, after
months of complaining that the debt limit’s validity under the Fourteenth
Amendment should be tested in court before he asserted it – not a terribly
realistic expectation – President Biden threw away a perfect opportunity to
obtain that ruling. He had more than
enough time for Treasury to auction off a token amount of bonds in excess of
the debt limit, enabling a legal challenge, and then to sign the legislation
and hold a regular Treasury auction to meet the government’s on-going
expenses. On each individual occasion,
it may seem more beneficial to pay protection money than to rid oneself of extortionists,
but the cumulative long-term effects are devastating. @DavidASuper1
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Books by Balkinization Bloggers
Jack M. Balkin, What Roe v. Wade Should Have Said: The Nation's Top Legal Experts Rewrite America's Most Controversial Decision - Revised Edition (NYU Press, 2023)
Andrew Koppelman, Burning Down the House: How Libertarian Philosophy Was Corrupted by Delusion and Greed (St. Martin’s Press, 2022)
Gerard N. Magliocca, Washington's Heir: The Life of Justice Bushrod Washington (Oxford University Press, 2022)
Joseph Fishkin and William E. Forbath, The Anti-Oligarchy Constitution: Reconstructing the Economic Foundations of American Democracy (Harvard University Press, 2022) Mark Tushnet and Bojan Bugaric, Power to the People: Constitutionalism in the Age of Populism (Oxford University Press 2021).
Mark Philip Bradley and Mary L. Dudziak, eds., Making the Forever War: Marilyn B. Young on the Culture and Politics of American Militarism Culture and Politics in the Cold War and Beyond (University of Massachusetts Press, 2021).
Jack M. Balkin, What Obergefell v. Hodges Should Have Said: The Nation's Top Legal Experts Rewrite America's Same-Sex Marriage Decision (Yale University Press, 2020)
Frank Pasquale, New Laws of Robotics: Defending Human Expertise in the Age of AI (Belknap Press, 2020)
Jack M. Balkin, The Cycles of Constitutional Time (Oxford University Press, 2020)
Mark Tushnet, Taking Back the Constitution: Activist Judges and the Next Age of American Law (Yale University Press 2020).
Andrew Koppelman, Gay Rights vs. Religious Liberty?: The Unnecessary Conflict (Oxford University Press, 2020)
Ezekiel J Emanuel and Abbe R. Gluck, The Trillion Dollar Revolution: How the Affordable Care Act Transformed Politics, Law, and Health Care in America (PublicAffairs, 2020)
Linda C. McClain, Who's the Bigot?: Learning from Conflicts over Marriage and Civil Rights Law (Oxford University Press, 2020)
Sanford Levinson and Jack M. Balkin, Democracy and Dysfunction (University of Chicago Press, 2019)
Sanford Levinson, Written in Stone: Public Monuments in Changing Societies (Duke University Press 2018)
Mark A. Graber, Sanford Levinson, and Mark Tushnet, eds., Constitutional Democracy in Crisis? (Oxford University Press 2018)
Gerard Magliocca, The Heart of the Constitution: How the Bill of Rights became the Bill of Rights (Oxford University Press, 2018)
Cynthia Levinson and Sanford Levinson, Fault Lines in the Constitution: The Framers, Their Fights, and the Flaws that Affect Us Today (Peachtree Publishers, 2017)
Brian Z. Tamanaha, A Realistic Theory of Law (Cambridge University Press 2017)
Sanford Levinson, Nullification and Secession in Modern Constitutional Thought (University Press of Kansas 2016)
Sanford Levinson, An Argument Open to All: Reading The Federalist in the 21st Century (Yale University Press 2015)
Stephen M. Griffin, Broken Trust: Dysfunctional Government and Constitutional Reform (University Press of Kansas, 2015)
Frank Pasquale, The Black Box Society: The Secret Algorithms That Control Money and Information (Harvard University Press, 2015)
Bruce Ackerman, We the People, Volume 3: The Civil Rights Revolution (Harvard University Press, 2014) Balkinization Symposium on We the People, Volume 3: The Civil Rights Revolution
Joseph Fishkin, Bottlenecks: A New Theory of Equal Opportunity (Oxford University Press, 2014)
Mark A. Graber, A New Introduction to American Constitutionalism (Oxford University Press, 2013)
John Mikhail, Elements of Moral Cognition: Rawls' Linguistic Analogy and the Cognitive Science of Moral and Legal Judgment (Cambridge University Press, 2013)
Gerard N. Magliocca, American Founding Son: John Bingham and the Invention of the Fourteenth Amendment (New York University Press, 2013)
Stephen M. Griffin, Long Wars and the Constitution (Harvard University Press, 2013) Andrew Koppelman, The Tough Luck Constitution and the Assault on Health Care Reform (Oxford University Press, 2013)
James E. Fleming and Linda C. McClain, Ordered Liberty: Rights, Responsibilities, and Virtues (Harvard University Press, 2013) Balkinization Symposium on Ordered Liberty: Rights, Responsibilities, and Virtues Andrew Koppelman, Defending American Religious Neutrality (Harvard University Press, 2013)
Brian Z. Tamanaha, Failing Law Schools (University of Chicago Press, 2012)
Sanford Levinson, Framed: America's 51 Constitutions and the Crisis of Governance (Oxford University Press, 2012)
Linda C. McClain and Joanna L. Grossman, Gender Equality: Dimensions of Women's Equal Citizenship (Cambridge University Press, 2012)
Mary Dudziak, War Time: An Idea, Its History, Its Consequences (Oxford University Press, 2012)
Jack M. Balkin, Living Originalism (Harvard University Press, 2011)
Jason Mazzone, Copyfraud and Other Abuses of Intellectual Property Law (Stanford University Press, 2011)
Richard W. Garnett and Andrew Koppelman, First Amendment Stories, (Foundation Press 2011)
Jack M. Balkin, Constitutional Redemption: Political Faith in an Unjust World (Harvard University Press, 2011)
Gerard Magliocca, The Tragedy of William Jennings Bryan: Constitutional Law and the Politics of Backlash (Yale University Press, 2011)
Bernard Harcourt, The Illusion of Free Markets: Punishment and the Myth of Natural Order (Harvard University Press, 2010)
Bruce Ackerman, The Decline and Fall of the American Republic (Harvard University Press, 2010) Balkinization Symposium on The Decline and Fall of the American Republic
Ian Ayres. Carrots and Sticks: Unlock the Power of Incentives to Get Things Done (Bantam Books, 2010)
Mark Tushnet, Why the Constitution Matters (Yale University Press 2010) Ian Ayres and Barry Nalebuff: Lifecycle Investing: A New, Safe, and Audacious Way to Improve the Performance of Your Retirement Portfolio (Basic Books, 2010)
Jack M. Balkin, The Laws of Change: I Ching and the Philosophy of Life (2d Edition, Sybil Creek Press 2009)
Brian Z. Tamanaha, Beyond the Formalist-Realist Divide: The Role of Politics in Judging (Princeton University Press 2009)
Andrew Koppelman and Tobias Barrington Wolff, A Right to Discriminate?: How the Case of Boy Scouts of America v. James Dale Warped the Law of Free Association (Yale University Press 2009)
Jack M. Balkin and Reva B. Siegel, The Constitution in 2020 (Oxford University Press 2009) Heather K. Gerken, The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix It (Princeton University Press 2009)
Mary Dudziak, Exporting American Dreams: Thurgood Marshall's African Journey (Oxford University Press 2008)
David Luban, Legal Ethics and Human Dignity (Cambridge Univ. Press 2007)
Ian Ayres, Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-By-Numbers is the New Way to be Smart (Bantam 2007)
Jack M. Balkin, James Grimmelmann, Eddan Katz, Nimrod Kozlovski, Shlomit Wagman and Tal Zarsky, eds., Cybercrime: Digital Cops in a Networked Environment (N.Y.U. Press 2007)
Jack M. Balkin and Beth Simone Noveck, The State of Play: Law, Games, and Virtual Worlds (N.Y.U. Press 2006)
Andrew Koppelman, Same Sex, Different States: When Same-Sex Marriages Cross State Lines (Yale University Press 2006) Brian Tamanaha, Law as a Means to an End (Cambridge University Press 2006) Sanford Levinson, Our Undemocratic Constitution (Oxford University Press 2006) Mark Graber, Dred Scott and the Problem of Constitutional Evil (Cambridge University Press 2006) Jack M. Balkin, ed., What Roe v. Wade Should Have Said (N.Y.U. Press 2005) Sanford Levinson, ed., Torture: A Collection (Oxford University Press 2004) Balkin.com homepage Bibliography Conlaw.net Cultural Software Writings Opeds The Information Society Project BrownvBoard.com Useful Links Syllabi and Exams |