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Balkinization Symposiums: A Continuing List                                                                E-mail: Jack Balkin: jackbalkin at yahoo.com Bruce Ackerman bruce.ackerman at yale.edu Ian Ayres ian.ayres at yale.edu Corey Brettschneider corey_brettschneider at brown.edu Mary Dudziak mary.l.dudziak at emory.edu Joey Fishkin joey.fishkin at gmail.com Heather Gerken heather.gerken at yale.edu Abbe Gluck abbe.gluck at yale.edu Mark Graber mgraber at law.umaryland.edu Stephen Griffin sgriffin at tulane.edu Jonathan Hafetz jonathan.hafetz at shu.edu Jeremy Kessler jkessler at law.columbia.edu Andrew Koppelman akoppelman at law.northwestern.edu Marty Lederman msl46 at law.georgetown.edu Sanford Levinson slevinson at law.utexas.edu David Luban david.luban at gmail.com Gerard Magliocca gmaglioc at iupui.edu Jason Mazzone mazzonej at illinois.edu Linda McClain lmcclain at bu.edu John Mikhail mikhail at law.georgetown.edu Frank Pasquale pasquale.frank at gmail.com Nate Persily npersily at gmail.com Michael Stokes Paulsen michaelstokespaulsen at gmail.com Deborah Pearlstein dpearlst at yu.edu Rick Pildes rick.pildes at nyu.edu David Pozen dpozen at law.columbia.edu Richard Primus raprimus at umich.edu K. Sabeel Rahmansabeel.rahman at brooklaw.edu Alice Ristroph alice.ristroph at shu.edu Neil Siegel siegel at law.duke.edu David Super david.super at law.georgetown.edu Brian Tamanaha btamanaha at wulaw.wustl.edu Nelson Tebbe nelson.tebbe at brooklaw.edu Mark Tushnet mtushnet at law.harvard.edu Adam Winkler winkler at ucla.edu Compendium of posts on Hobby Lobby and related cases The Anti-Torture Memos: Balkinization Posts on Torture, Interrogation, Detention, War Powers, and OLC The Anti-Torture Memos (arranged by topic) Recent Posts The wisdom of the market?
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
The wisdom of the market?
Sandy Levinson
I note that the US stock markets are up considerably today; the Dow will apparently close up about 300 points and NASDAQ about 50 points. And, concomitantly, 538.com currently gives Obama a 98.9% chance of winning the election. I suppose, of course, that some of you might think the market would be up much more if John McCain were ahead, but, you know, I rather doubt that.
Comments:
Intrade at 7.5/7.9 B/A for McSame.
IETM at 6.2/7.2 B/A Buy high, sell low. At least you'll get back 50¢ on the dollar, "Bart". Best money you ever spent. Cheers,
Bart opined that McSame was a bargain at $.20. That's about 25 cents on the dollar.
You know, if I had me those kind of results to 'fess up to, don't think I'd be spouting any more political predictions for public consumption.
Sandy:
The LIBOR (interest rate for bank to bank lending) fell again overnight. The markets do not read 538.com. The markets already factored in the risk of an Obama win when it fell the last 10%. Indeed, CBS Marketwatch ran an article on how to Obama-proof your portfolio today.
"Obaama proof your portfolio"
Of all the idiotic concepts I've herd the last few months, that rates among the dumbest.
Charles:
Actually, Obama-proofing your portfolio is pretty hard, but it can be done. Get out of US stocks entirely. When Obama raises capital gains taxes they will fall like rocks. Follow the lead of the rich and middle class in places like Venezuela and move your money overseas to buy foreign stocks and bonds. If you must buy domestic stocks, stay away from the domestic coal and oil stocks and buy into the carbon offset scams...er, companies that contributed the most to Obama as wells as stocks in foreign oil refiners as the US is compelled to import even more refined product because of a lack of domestic production.
Bart,
You're talking to a life master Bridge player Bart, and you're just being silly. "For what is a man profited, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul?" Matthew 16:26 Or to put it another way: it's like playing Russian roulette with an Uzi on full-auto; or alternatively, you've enslaved yourselves to a machine that milks people like cows.
But I don't know why I even bother.
You don't understand what's said you Bart, for the simple reason that you don't want to. You aren't even listening. You could try reading the preamble to the Constitution, but the words will just go in one ear and out the other without stopping in the middle.
Bart:
Your position is not clear. Is an Obama win already priced into the market or not? If it is, then the market is much more up to speed than you are. If it is not, then -- in your view -- the market should drop tomorrow in the event of an Obama win, right? Stating that the "risk" of an Obama win is already priced into the market just won't cut it.
Bart: Your position is not clear
It's clear alright. Bart wants to blame the Bush financial meltdown on Barack Obama, who hasn't even won the election yet, let alone assumed the presidency. Keep it coming, Bart. We hang on your every word.
Bart said this election would "come down to a point or two." I'm going to wait for the results before I decide whether he has any credibility on these other matters.
Futures markets are diverging. IETM had McSame at a penny, but Intrade has him up a penny to 6.2/6.9 B/A. Too bad "Bart" bought the IETM futures, eh? Maybe we ought to pass the hat for him....
Cheers,
FauxSnooze calls Ohio for Obama.
IETM: 1 ¢ ... 0.6 ... 0.5 ... 0.4 ... Be rational, "Bart". There's still some value. Sell, sell, sell!!! Cheers,
Well, it appears that Obama drew enough of the Reagan Dems to gain the first majority since Carter.
Congrats to you Dems on a well earned victory. Enjoy the win. I have enjoyed the last 28 years. Now it is your turn. DC is now yours with no excuses. The next four years will determine whether this is a realignment or a repeat of 1992.
Bart: You are such a sore loser. Like you said in your anti-American and unpatriotic words in this thread: pull your money out of all America investments--and America period--and get out for good if you don't like this country. We don't need anyone who does support America financially. Get out and go where you feel comfortable.
"Bart" the unapologetic (and uncomprehending) 'spinner':
DC is now yours with no excuses. The next four years will determine whether this is a realignment or a repeat of 1992. What? Eight years of peace and prosperity? We should be so lucky. And this time, if that transpires, the public may catch on and decide to ban the Rethuglicans from ever holding positions of responsibility any more (preferably though the franchise of an awakened electorate). Cheers,
Congratulations to President-Elect Obama and to the American people who, by a majority, have had the good sense to repudiate the extreme right policies of the Bush Administration and of the neoconservative infiltrators of the Republican Party.
I trust this good beginning will mark a return to civility in US politics as well as in the US conduct of international relations. I could not fail to note LSR Bart's advice:- "Follow the lead of the rich and middle class in places like Venezuela and move your money overseas to buy foreign stocks and bonds." I think I remember this phenomenon: it was so popular at one time that Bernie Cornfeld (of Investors Overseas Services notoriety) referred to the executive jet used to export funds from Latin America as belonging to "Capital Flight Airlines". Just the sort of "greed is good" solution LRS Bart would advocate. I recollect that in the IOS days a number of right-wing military coups resulted from the economic consequences. Now that Colorado has gone blue by 53% to 46% overall, I wonder if LSR Bart will be advocating secession for Colorado Springs, or perhaps he will prefer to relocate to Sarah Palin's Alaska.
Bart:
Serious question. Obviously, the polls were pretty much right and you were pretty much wrong about the polls. My question is, did you really honestly believe the polls were that far off, or were you just being an "advocate"?
jslater said...
Bart: Serious question. Obviously, the polls were pretty much right and you were pretty much wrong about the polls. My question is, did you really honestly believe the polls were that far off, or were you just being an "advocate"? Once the dust settles, I will be doing an analysis of the pre-election and exit polls. However, the actual voting results do tell us some things before the analysis. There were two groups of polls - one largely correct and the other substantially incorrect. The historically accurate polls (Battleground/Rasmussen/IBD/TIPP) appear to have predicted the race pretty closely. The other group (NYT/Gallup/Etc) with double digit margins were way off. My criticism of the polling was that they were over counting the Dem voting percentage and/or undercounting GOP voting percentage. I need to compare these polls with the exit polling to see whether Obama indeed increased the number of Dems and decreased the number of GOP or we kept about the same historical partisan proportions and Obama simply convinced more Dems, GOP and Indies to vote for him when compared to prior Dems since Reagan. I was not being an advocate. I put my money where my posts were. Unfortunately, this is the first presidential pick I have made incorrectly, so the historical trends I was using have obviously changed. I hate being wrong so I will be taking a look at what has changed and add it to my future calculations.
Sandy:
As I expected, the markets in the EU and here fell after the election news. Are you sure you still believe in the wisdom of the markets? I am keeping my money out until I see whether Obama keeps his rather conservative campaign promises or, as I expect, reverts to his socialist leaning and "lurches to the left" as he promised not to. I doubt I will be the only one in a wait and see mode.
As I expected, the markets in the EU and here fell after the election news.
I thought you said that "the market already factored in the risk of an Obama win?"
jslater:
I projected a 1996/2000 level partisan breakdown of 39% Dem, 35% GOP and 26% Indi based on past CNN exit poll data. The 2008 CNN exit poll data shows 39% Dem, 32% GOP and 29% Indi. The same percentage of Dems voted. However, it does appear that the GOP did not show up for John McCain, falling from 37% of the vote in 2004 to 32% in 2008, while the Indis did show up for Obama. Perhaps the GOP was not fired up to vote for their "Maverick" after he pissed on them so many times in the past and/or were simply depressed because of the full court Dem media press on the inevitability an Obama victory. Also, Obama attracted a substantial number of Reagan Dems as did Bill Clinton before him. This could either signal a realignment or simply a vote for the moderate Dem as a change after a recession ended a long period of GOP presidency as was the case in 1992. Time will tell. Finally, there was a Bradley Effect in that the exit polls did substantially over estimate the Obama vote in multiple states, but it was not near the 7% level in the primaries. This indicates that many of these voters wanted a Dem other than Obama, but not John McCain.
Baghdad, you have been completely wrong about the last 2 elections. You were not even close. Do you actually think your "evaluation" of the poll numbers carries any weight at all?
Shorter "Bart":
"I was right. Right, I tell ya!!!!' "Bart" from a couple threads back: Its too late to send the college more money to put on McCain or I would definitely send them another $100. These exit polls are fantastic! "Bart": Would you kindly just STFU? You're stinking up the place, and pretending that we are the ones with STM deficits is really insulting. Cheers,
I can't believe that Professor Levinson is serious in suggesting that yesterday's market action can be attributed to Obama's impending election. But if he is, I guess today shows that the market is expecting it to be a very short presidency.
In fairness to Bart, he was answering a question I asked him.
I'll look at the weighting assumptions, but pretty clearly, a number of the pollsters were spot on in 2008, and a number underestimated Obama's appeal (as, of course, a few overestimated it). I don't think there was much evidence of a "Bradley Effect" at all. And you should have noted that Nate Silver at www.fivethirtyeight.com was astonishingly accurate in his predictions both of the popular vote and EC count.
If you want to know what is going on in an election, you go to 538.com. If you want to think "these exit poll numbers are great" as your candidate crashes and burns, Baghdad Bart is your political "guru".
mls said...
I can't believe that Professor Levinson is serious in suggesting that yesterday's market action can be attributed to Obama's impending election. But if he is, I guess today shows that the market is expecting it to be a very short presidency. Folks' 401Ks and IRAs just lost 5% today in anticipation of the New Era of The One. For some strange reason, I guess investors are not encouraged by the impending capital gains tax hikes, income tax hikes and Obama's promise that: "Under my plan of a cap and trade system, electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket:"
Folks' 401Ks and IRAs just lost 5% today in anticipation of the New Era of The One.
I though you said the markets had already adjusted for our new overlord?
bartbuster said...
I though you said the markets had already adjusted for our new overlord? I didn't say they were through adjusting or I would already be back in the market. The markets will probably bounce around between 8500 and 9500 until we get news as to Obama's intentions concerning his nominee for Sec Treasury and then what anti-business and tax legislation is coming down the pike. If Obama does not appoint a star to Treasury, the markets will dive. I think he knows this and will find one. If Obama proposes any Hoover/FDR style anti-business legislation on trade, carbon caps or eliminating union secret ballots, or a tax increase, the markets will dive. I am not at all sure this quasi-socialist along with Pelosi and Reid have any comprehension of the damage such acts would cause an economy in recession, thus we could be in for the market dive.
I didn't say they were through adjusting or I would already be back in the market.
Oh, you can jump into the IETM market at any time, Mr. "Warren Buffett" DePalma, because you can play that one any way you want. And we've noted your acumen there. Stop please. Really. Everyone knows you're full'o'it, and these last few days are just the icing on the cake that proves that. No one wants to hear what you have to say. Really. No one. Period. And you have all the freedom you want to stink up your own blog with your little brain farts rather than annoying sober people here. So please do so. It's the right thing to do. Cheers,
I am not at all sure this quasi-socialist along with Pelosi and Reid have any comprehension of the damage such acts would cause an economy in recession, thus we could be in for the market dive.
Hey Einstein, maybe you didn't notice but the markets dove. That's dove, which rhymes with "stove". Also, the Democratic leadership which you cite has a far deeper understanding of economics than you ever will in your entire lifespan, I can guarantee you that. You're a financial nincompoop, but that's not news to the readership here.
I didn't say they were through adjusting or I would already be back in the market.
I know. You were just spewing nonsense.
I am not at all sure this quasi-socialist along with Pelosi and Reid have any comprehension of the damage such acts would cause an economy in recession, thus we could be in for the market dive.
Whatever they do, I sure it won't end as poorly as your investment in McSame stick...
Arne, Bartbuster and the like (you know who you are)- ok, the election is over. As Barack Obama might say, its time to turn the page. Its time to try something different. Its time to embrace the future.
Now I have no idea what he means by that, but what I mean is this. CUT IT OUT. Stop the personal insults, the “cute” nicknames, the colorful misspellings, and the general nastiness. Just stop it. Seriously, it is really, really tiresome. As far as I can recall, Bart has never responded in kind to any one of the thousands of personal shots you have taken at him. Doesn’t that make you feel a tiny bit foolish? Do you talk to people in real life like that, or do you think the internet gives you license to act like a third grader? And while you are at it, you can stop referring to Senator McCain as “McSame.” It was juvenile during the election. Now its just pathetic.
@mls,
Are you kidding me? Bart is a vandal, nothing less. No amount of razzing is too much or more than he deserves. Sure, I've argued we [his political opponents] would be better served to simply ignore him. But in the almost three years I've been frequenting this site he has been such a persistent partisan shill, such a dedicated GOP propagandist, such an unrepentant PNAC apologist that, well, there's really no underestimating the animosity he has earned with his habitual intellectual dishonesty and general thuggishness. He's a blight on the conversations here and any childishness you complain of originates from his childish insistence on coming here to fulfill his pathetic need for attention. I may never forgive Glen Greenwald for banning Bart from his site and causing him to land here. Get our hosts to give the ol' SCCS the boot he so richly deserves and watch the caliber of the conversation soar. rl (flashing back to the horror of forcing the LSR to admit that nothing in the text of the MCA precludes it being used as a tool of political repression. grr. you have no idea what "tiresome" is.)
mattski said...
Also, the Democratic leadership which you cite has a far deeper understanding of economics than you ever will in your entire lifespan. :::chuckle::: I minored in economics and run a small business. Obama, Pelosi and Reid have no earthly idea how a free economy works and have never turned run a profit making business in their lives. Obama pines about lost opportunities for "redistributive change," ignorant that every country that adopted this socialist agenda has been left in the dust by free economies. Pelosi is the daughter of a congressman who married into money and dedicated her life to nothing but party politics. Reid's experience in economics primarily arises from investing in property through a cutout and then tripling his money by influencing the Las Vegas zoning board to rezone the property commercial for a shopping center. While Reid's return on investment was impressive (although not Hillary futures impressive), most folks outside of the Senate leadership could not use this as a model for US economic growth.
[MLS]: Arne, Bartbuster and the like (you know who you are)- ok, the election is over. As Barack Obama might say, its time to turn the page. Its time to try something different.
"Can't we just moooovvvveee oooonnnnn???? <*waaauuggghhh*>" Yeah. Like stopping with the bullsh*te and Rethuglican "talking points". I'm all for it. I know "Bart" likes "turning the page" (or going to a new thread), because it frees him from having to account for his own stoopidity and dishonesty. But that's hardly a way to actually move forward. Cheers,
"Bart" DePuffery:
I minored in economics.... Yeah. You also purport to be a lawyer (see the whole thread for the gruesome details) and we see what that piece of paper is worth.... But to be honest, the only hard evidence we have of your acumen is what you post here, and we take it for what it is so obviously worth. Did you manage to sell your McInsane IETM shares before they augured in completely? Cheers,
Little Lisa's bro continues to "chuckle" with his colon(s). Was that his major to his minor in economics? (Comparison: George W majored in Cheerleading, minored in history, at Yale.) 2012 for our crepitating buddy?
Shag:
Little Lisa's bro continues to "chuckle" with his colon(s). Didn't sound like a chuckle to me. ;-) Cheers,
Now I have no idea what he means by that, but what I mean is this. CUT IT OUT. Stop the personal insults, the “cute” nicknames, the colorful misspellings, and the general nastiness. Just stop it. Seriously, it is really, really tiresome.
When Baghdad Bart turns the page, I'll turn the page. Until then, go fuck yourself.
After the markets dropped 5% the first day following the Obama election, shattering the record for post election market collapses, the Obama panic continues today as the Dow has now fallen another 4.% as of this posting.
Obviously, investors are casting their ballots on the prospects for the next four years.
Obviously, investors are casting their ballots on the prospects for the next four years.
# posted by Bart DePalma : 1:27 PM You should take some of the payoff from your McCane investment and buy low. Oh, right...
Obviously, investors are casting their ballots on the prospects for the next four years.
Considering that the tanking market helped get Obama elected, I'd say that the market, and you, need some Prozac.
Obama ia supposed to have his first post election press conference tomorrow. He needs to assure the markets that tax increases and various other anti-business measures like union card check and nationalization of 401Ks (and de-capitalization of much of the stock market) being discussed by the wingnuts in the Congressional leadership. This uncertainty is scaring the hell out of the world wide markets.
My retired mother is cutting way back on spending because she does not want to realize heavy losses by withdrawing money out of her IRAs and is no relying upon social security and her bank savings. This going way beyond partisan BS. It's time that Obama starts acting like a grown up who will be trusted in the Oval Office and remove this uncertainty.
This going way beyond partisan BS. It's time that Obama starts acting like a grown up who will be trusted in the Oval Office and remove this uncertainty.
# posted by Bart DePalma : 4:46 PM Bart, shut your ignorant pie-hole. In a few months the adults are going to start cleaning up the mess you wingnuts created.
Seriously, we've had 8 years with the class clown in charge, and now you think the problem is Obama?
Charles:
You folks wanted Obama to take over immediately. At this point, so do I. Obama needs to reassure the markets NOW. No more rhetoric. He needs to make his intentions clear immediately.
Oh listen to you.
"Reassure the markets..." Should he buy them a round of drinks maybe? Sing them a lullaby? Hit 'em in the ass with a tranquilizer dart? Do you have any actual understanding of markets Bart? It happens I own some stock too, but can't imagine how anything that might reassure you would reassure me or any of the other people who just kicked your greedy lying delusional ASS in the election. We're already VERY reassured, our relief is unbounded even. "NOW" you say?? Or what exactly Bart? Are you going to hold your breath until you turn blue or something? Emigrate to Singapore and never come back? What?? Obama doesn't NEED to do anything but get the transition up and running, and he's shown every sign of being just as deliberate and focussed about that as he was about the election campaign. He's holding a press conference tomorrow, and I'll be very surprised if the economy isn't a major topic. The only thing that really NEEDS to happen here is that you need to get something straight Bart: you people lost the election for a number of very good reasons, the biggest one being the disastrous economic policies of the Bush administration and Republican Party. Want to be reassured do you?? My advice: make an appointment with a good shrink -- they can prescribe something for your anxiety, which I predict is going to increase exponentially for the foreseeable future.
Charles:
You look like you are closing in on retirement age. Do you have investments to support you in your dotage? If so, how is your 401K or IRA doing these days? Perhaps you are independently wealthy or planning on living in poverty on social security, but millions of your fellow citizens including my parents are seeing their retirement evaporate. Being granted power in an election is more than your juvenile game of partisan gotchya. It means the President elect (if not his supporters) has the duty to act like a responsible adult. I do not think that it is too much for a President elect to take a half hour off from planning his inaugural parties to simply reassure the markets that he does not plan to pillage them with new taxes and 401K confiscations in the near future. If Obama does have such plans, the man could at least be honest about them so my parents can get the rest of their life savings out of his way before the market crash.
**MY** "juvenile games of partisan gotcha"???
You got that one a little bit backwards Mr. Spin Machine -- I just don't like fascists or fools, and you're both. And don't patronize me. I'm 56 and have a family the same as everyone else does. If money was a solution to anything, we wouldn't be having this conversation. You Republicans just spent eight years proving that you could waste any amount of money and accomplish exactly nothing worthwhile. We'd be better off going back to subsistence farming.
Clueless "Bart":
Perhaps you are independently wealthy or planning on living in poverty on social security, but millions of your fellow citizens including my parents are seeing their retirement evaporate. Well, you can thank Rethuglican efforts to gut unions and defined-benefit pensions for that.... Cheers,
The RW authoritarian in action:
I do not think that it is too much for a President elect to take a half hour off from planning his inaugural parties to simply reassure the markets that he does not plan to pillage them with new taxes and 401K confiscations in the near future. After not voting for Obama, "Bart" is under the delusion that Obama should listen to his shrieking.... <*SHEESH*>; Suck on your pacifier, "Bart". Please. Cheers,
"Bart" DeTotallyClueless:
If Obama does have such plans, the man could at least be honest about them so my parents can get the rest of their life savings out of his way before the market crash. There's a "free market". You know, that means you get to buy and sell whenever you want. In fact, if Obama's planning to trash the economy more that "Bart's" friends have done as "Bart" is insisting here, then "Bart" shouldn't be insisting that Obama announce such at a press conference before "Bart"'s parents liquidate. Because ... because ... <*wait for it*> ,,, the wonder of "free markets" is that it supposedly rewards the best financial insight and perspicacity. If "Bart"'s unfortunate parents wait until Obama tells everyone else his evil plans, then the markets will have already tanked, having digested this sobering news, by the time his parents try to sell. Instead, "Bart" should guarantee his own parents that he alone understands the insidious evil of Obama's planned machinations, and that they should immediately "short" the market to catch a wave on the coming deluge, with "Bart" to guarantee their profits (in an All-Amer'kun kind of way) so they can rest easy in their retirement. It's the beauty of "free markets"! Cheers,
I do not think that it is too much for a President elect to take a half hour off from planning his inaugural parties to simply reassure the markets that he does not plan to pillage them with new taxes and 401K confiscations in the near future.
If Obama does have such plans, the man could at least be honest about them so my parents can get the rest of their life savings out of his way before the market crash. # posted by Bart DePalma : 12:07 AM Baghdad, Obama is under no obligation to reassure nutcases like you. If you think he's about to pillage your 401K, you'd better hurry up and hide it in your mattress.
Thankfully, it appears that Mr. Obama is not as utterly clueless and callous as some of his supporters.
NPR is reporting that the economy in general and the markets in particular will be the only real subject of media questions at the Obama press conference and Obama is reportedly huddled with his advisors developing a messages to - you guessed it - reassure the markets. The markets stopped their slide this morning to listen.
Thankfully, it appears that Mr. Obama is not as utterly clueless and callous as some of his supporters.
That is an interesting assumption for someone who is convinced that he's about to pillage our 401Ks.
bb:
I am not assuming that Obama is set to nationalize 401Ks and IRAs ala Argentina. I posted that some leftingnuts in the congressional leadership are suggesting the course of action. I want Obama to step on the idea to reassure the markets. Folks, I am rather pleased with Obama's selection of Rahm Emanuel as COS because Emanuel has a long history of relatively conservative positions and is the one who picked many of the Blue Dogs in the House. If Obama follows this up with a selection of free market economist Lawrence Summers as Sec Treasury, I will be thrilled. it means the grownups will be in charge of his Administration and Obam might actually govern from the center ala Clinton.
bartbuster:
["Bart"]: Thankfully, it appears that Mr. Obama is not as utterly clueless and callous as some of his supporters. [bartbuster]; That is an interesting assumption for someone who is convinced that he's about to pillage our 401Ks. I'm afraid that you made a misteak, Bartbuster. You made an implicit assumption that anything "Bart" says is coherent and that any two things he says are purportedly consistent. I'm afraid the evidence is not on your side on that. BTW, I'll wager a dollar to donuts that he doesn't respond to my skewereing of his eedjitcy in the comments prior. Now that's a "sound investment". Another safe bet is that "Bart" will soldier on with even more eedjitcy in subsequent threads. It's a brain-stem extra-pyramidal tract reflex, I'm guessing.... Cheers,
I am not assuming that Obama is set to nationalize 401Ks and IRAs ala Argentina
Interesting. So the fact that you have spent the better part of the last 18 months calling him a socialist and pointing to all the socialist things that he'll do when he is elected does not mean that you actually think he is a socialist. I'm glad we cleared that up. Now that you have admitted that you don't actually mean anything that you post, is there any chance that you'll stop posting?
it means the grownups will be in charge of his Administration and Obam might actually govern from the center ala Clinton.
I distinctly remember you being very excited when the "growups" took over from the Clinton administration. And you have been blaming Clinton for everything that has gone wrong for the last 8 years. With all the bullshit streaming from your head, how do you keep it from imploding?
bb said...
I distinctly remember you being very excited when the "growups" took over from the Clinton administration. I was comparing the foreign policy teams. The Clinton foreign policy team were afraid to take any action against our nation's enemies that might result in American or collateral foreign civilian casualties. As a result, we ignored al Qaeda until 9/11. In stark contrast, Bush has all but destroyed al Qaeda and established the first two democracies in the Arab world. As to economic policy, I have repeatedly pointed out that Clinton was more conservative than Bush and actually completed the Reagan Revolution after being corrected by the voters in the 1994 election. If Obama will at least follow the Clinton lead on economics, then at at least the economy should be OK. As for foreign policy, Obama is in for a quick education in reality. The Russians are already moving nuclear missiles to the Polish border to challenge the rookie. Look for Iran to start pushing in the next couple months.
I was comparing the foreign policy teams.
You are lying. As a result, we ignored al Qaeda until 9/11. In stark contrast, Bush has all but destroyed al Qaeda and established the first two democracies in the Arab world. You are full of shit.
As for foreign policy, Obama is in for a quick education in reality. The Russians are already moving nuclear missiles to the Polish border to challenge the rookie. Look for Iran to start pushing in the next couple months.
# posted by Bart DePalma : 11:41 AM I hate to disasppoint you, but Obama isn't going to invade Russia or Iran.
"Bart":
In stark contrast, Bush has all but destroyed al Qaeda and established the first two democracies in the Arab world. Stop drinking so early (is that field research for your DUI practise?) At best you're seeing double, but more likely, big pink elephants. Cheers, P.S.: After we "liberated" Kuwiat, weren't they supposed to give their people the franchise in gratitude? How's that going?
During the press conference, Obama tap danced as usual on taxes, adding to the uncertainty in the markets. However, the truly appalling part of the press conference was Obama's suggestion that he intends to throw away tens of billions of tax payer dollars to help auto companies pay for insane union pension obligations.
It was bad enough to bail out the corrupt Freddie and Fannie as well as the inept banks. The only thing that made the bank rescue plan half palatable is the promise that the banks would absorb most of the losses and the tax payers would be getting equity for their money. The hell with using our tax money as Obama's personal slush fund to pay for cadillac pension plans for his union supporters. Let the auto companies enter bankruptcy, give the existing pension funds to the unions to operate, and restructure the companies to compete again.
Congress and the President have arrived at a pretty darn good bank rescue compromise
The rescue plan has gone from "pretty darn good" to "half palatable" in just 2 months. Baghdad, what happened?
During the press conference, Obama tap danced as usual on taxes, adding to the uncertainty in the markets.
The market went up today, you clown.
"Bart" DeClueless:
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Let the auto companies enter bankruptcy, give the existing pension funds to the unions to operate, ... The ones the companies ran into the ground and now want to skip out on?!?!? What ever happened to personal responsibility (for the corporations that the U.S. kindly rebranded as "persons" a while back)? Cheers,
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Books by Balkinization Bloggers Linda C. McClain and Aziza Ahmed, The Routledge Companion to Gender and COVID-19 (Routledge, 2024) David Pozen, The Constitution of the War on Drugs (Oxford University Press, 2024) Jack M. Balkin, Memory and Authority: The Uses of History in Constitutional Interpretation (Yale University Press, 2024) Mark A. Graber, Punish Treason, Reward Loyalty: The Forgotten Goals of Constitutional Reform after the Civil War (University of Kansas Press, 2023) Jack M. Balkin, What Roe v. Wade Should Have Said: The Nation's Top Legal Experts Rewrite America's Most Controversial Decision - Revised Edition (NYU Press, 2023) Andrew Koppelman, Burning Down the House: How Libertarian Philosophy Was Corrupted by Delusion and Greed (St. Martin’s Press, 2022) Gerard N. Magliocca, Washington's Heir: The Life of Justice Bushrod Washington (Oxford University Press, 2022) Joseph Fishkin and William E. Forbath, The Anti-Oligarchy Constitution: Reconstructing the Economic Foundations of American Democracy (Harvard University Press, 2022) Mark Tushnet and Bojan Bugaric, Power to the People: Constitutionalism in the Age of Populism (Oxford University Press 2021). Mark Philip Bradley and Mary L. Dudziak, eds., Making the Forever War: Marilyn B. Young on the Culture and Politics of American Militarism Culture and Politics in the Cold War and Beyond (University of Massachusetts Press, 2021). Jack M. Balkin, What Obergefell v. Hodges Should Have Said: The Nation's Top Legal Experts Rewrite America's Same-Sex Marriage Decision (Yale University Press, 2020) Frank Pasquale, New Laws of Robotics: Defending Human Expertise in the Age of AI (Belknap Press, 2020) Jack M. Balkin, The Cycles of Constitutional Time (Oxford University Press, 2020) Mark Tushnet, Taking Back the Constitution: Activist Judges and the Next Age of American Law (Yale University Press 2020). Andrew Koppelman, Gay Rights vs. Religious Liberty?: The Unnecessary Conflict (Oxford University Press, 2020) Ezekiel J Emanuel and Abbe R. Gluck, The Trillion Dollar Revolution: How the Affordable Care Act Transformed Politics, Law, and Health Care in America (PublicAffairs, 2020) Linda C. McClain, Who's the Bigot?: Learning from Conflicts over Marriage and Civil Rights Law (Oxford University Press, 2020) Sanford Levinson and Jack M. Balkin, Democracy and Dysfunction (University of Chicago Press, 2019) Sanford Levinson, Written in Stone: Public Monuments in Changing Societies (Duke University Press 2018) Mark A. Graber, Sanford Levinson, and Mark Tushnet, eds., Constitutional Democracy in Crisis? (Oxford University Press 2018) Gerard Magliocca, The Heart of the Constitution: How the Bill of Rights became the Bill of Rights (Oxford University Press, 2018) Cynthia Levinson and Sanford Levinson, Fault Lines in the Constitution: The Framers, Their Fights, and the Flaws that Affect Us Today (Peachtree Publishers, 2017) Brian Z. Tamanaha, A Realistic Theory of Law (Cambridge University Press 2017) Sanford Levinson, Nullification and Secession in Modern Constitutional Thought (University Press of Kansas 2016) Sanford Levinson, An Argument Open to All: Reading The Federalist in the 21st Century (Yale University Press 2015) Stephen M. Griffin, Broken Trust: Dysfunctional Government and Constitutional Reform (University Press of Kansas, 2015) Frank Pasquale, The Black Box Society: The Secret Algorithms That Control Money and Information (Harvard University Press, 2015) Bruce Ackerman, We the People, Volume 3: The Civil Rights Revolution (Harvard University Press, 2014) Balkinization Symposium on We the People, Volume 3: The Civil Rights Revolution Joseph Fishkin, Bottlenecks: A New Theory of Equal Opportunity (Oxford University Press, 2014) Mark A. Graber, A New Introduction to American Constitutionalism (Oxford University Press, 2013) John Mikhail, Elements of Moral Cognition: Rawls' Linguistic Analogy and the Cognitive Science of Moral and Legal Judgment (Cambridge University Press, 2013) Gerard N. Magliocca, American Founding Son: John Bingham and the Invention of the Fourteenth Amendment (New York University Press, 2013) Stephen M. Griffin, Long Wars and the Constitution (Harvard University Press, 2013) Andrew Koppelman, The Tough Luck Constitution and the Assault on Health Care Reform (Oxford University Press, 2013) James E. Fleming and Linda C. McClain, Ordered Liberty: Rights, Responsibilities, and Virtues (Harvard University Press, 2013) Balkinization Symposium on Ordered Liberty: Rights, Responsibilities, and Virtues Andrew Koppelman, Defending American Religious Neutrality (Harvard University Press, 2013) Brian Z. Tamanaha, Failing Law Schools (University of Chicago Press, 2012) Sanford Levinson, Framed: America's 51 Constitutions and the Crisis of Governance (Oxford University Press, 2012) Linda C. McClain and Joanna L. Grossman, Gender Equality: Dimensions of Women's Equal Citizenship (Cambridge University Press, 2012) Mary Dudziak, War Time: An Idea, Its History, Its Consequences (Oxford University Press, 2012) Jack M. Balkin, Living Originalism (Harvard University Press, 2011) Jason Mazzone, Copyfraud and Other Abuses of Intellectual Property Law (Stanford University Press, 2011) Richard W. Garnett and Andrew Koppelman, First Amendment Stories, (Foundation Press 2011) Jack M. Balkin, Constitutional Redemption: Political Faith in an Unjust World (Harvard University Press, 2011) Gerard Magliocca, The Tragedy of William Jennings Bryan: Constitutional Law and the Politics of Backlash (Yale University Press, 2011) Bernard Harcourt, The Illusion of Free Markets: Punishment and the Myth of Natural Order (Harvard University Press, 2010) Bruce Ackerman, The Decline and Fall of the American Republic (Harvard University Press, 2010) Balkinization Symposium on The Decline and Fall of the American Republic Ian Ayres. Carrots and Sticks: Unlock the Power of Incentives to Get Things Done (Bantam Books, 2010) Mark Tushnet, Why the Constitution Matters (Yale University Press 2010) Ian Ayres and Barry Nalebuff: Lifecycle Investing: A New, Safe, and Audacious Way to Improve the Performance of Your Retirement Portfolio (Basic Books, 2010) Jack M. Balkin, The Laws of Change: I Ching and the Philosophy of Life (2d Edition, Sybil Creek Press 2009) Brian Z. Tamanaha, Beyond the Formalist-Realist Divide: The Role of Politics in Judging (Princeton University Press 2009) Andrew Koppelman and Tobias Barrington Wolff, A Right to Discriminate?: How the Case of Boy Scouts of America v. James Dale Warped the Law of Free Association (Yale University Press 2009) Jack M. Balkin and Reva B. Siegel, The Constitution in 2020 (Oxford University Press 2009) Heather K. Gerken, The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix It (Princeton University Press 2009) Mary Dudziak, Exporting American Dreams: Thurgood Marshall's African Journey (Oxford University Press 2008) David Luban, Legal Ethics and Human Dignity (Cambridge Univ. Press 2007) Ian Ayres, Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-By-Numbers is the New Way to be Smart (Bantam 2007) Jack M. Balkin, James Grimmelmann, Eddan Katz, Nimrod Kozlovski, Shlomit Wagman and Tal Zarsky, eds., Cybercrime: Digital Cops in a Networked Environment (N.Y.U. Press 2007) Jack M. Balkin and Beth Simone Noveck, The State of Play: Law, Games, and Virtual Worlds (N.Y.U. Press 2006) Andrew Koppelman, Same Sex, Different States: When Same-Sex Marriages Cross State Lines (Yale University Press 2006) Brian Tamanaha, Law as a Means to an End (Cambridge University Press 2006) Sanford Levinson, Our Undemocratic Constitution (Oxford University Press 2006) Mark Graber, Dred Scott and the Problem of Constitutional Evil (Cambridge University Press 2006) Jack M. Balkin, ed., What Roe v. Wade Should Have Said (N.Y.U. Press 2005) Sanford Levinson, ed., Torture: A Collection (Oxford University Press 2004) Balkin.com homepage Bibliography Conlaw.net Cultural Software Writings Opeds The Information Society Project BrownvBoard.com Useful Links Syllabi and Exams |