Balkinization: My 2008 Election Projection

IMHO, we will have the following changes in the 2004 map:

Obama: Adds VA, CO and NM. The influx of California Dems into the mountain west and DC Dem bureaucrats into Northeast VA has turned these states a bluish purple.

McCain: Adds PA and NH. The bitter clingers go for McCain in large numbers.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 7:03 PM

Well, this is my map exactly, although I might switch Missouri to the McCain column. I think we'll both be right, state for state.

# posted by

Asher : 10:08 PM

garth:

If Mr. Obama wins, I will congratulate the Obama supporters here for their win, say a prayer that Mr. Obama is wise enough to adjust his policies to benefit the country and work to get the GOP back to conservative first principles to earn the trust of the voters again.

If Mr. McCain wins, I do not expect any sort of reciprocal courtesy, Rather, I expect the Obama supporters to accuse the voters of being racist and/or stupid and the GOP of again "stealing" the election.

Same ol, same ol.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 11:27 PM

McCain: Adds PA and NH. The bitter clingers go for McCain in large numbers.

Delusional as ever....

NH: "Obama takes Dixville Notch, NH. First Dem win since the mignight voting tradition started half a century ago."

And 538 has PA as 99% for Obama (and RCP an average 7.4 spread).

The "bitter clingers" that "Bart" is pinning his hopes on were RW foamers (lik, e.g., Santorum supporters) to begin with, and never going to vote for Obama. And where's Santorum now? Oh. Yeah....

"Bart" knows about as much about politics and polling as he does the law.

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 12:42 AM

I think Bart actually knows a little more about law than politics.

# posted by

Asher : 2:24 AM

tray:

I think Bart actually knows a little more about law than politics.

Really? I see no evidence of this. I've had to correct him way too many times on even simple matters of law. And Mourad waxes his a$$ regularly.

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 2:44 AM

This presidential election cycle has gone on too long. We need an amendment to the Constitution requiring the development and mandatory ingesting by all voters of prescription medication that will give voters a four-hour election. Anything longer than that, call Dr. Kevorkian.

# posted by

Shag from Brookline : 7:56 AM

shag:

I am with you, but there is this pesky thing called the First Amendment that will mostly likely frown upon bans on political speech.

Perhaps the best feature of Sandy's preferred parliamentary system where elections can be called either by the party in charge or forced through a vote of no confidence is that elections will be random and short.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 9:31 AM

May the best man win today.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 9:32 AM

My proposed "four hour election" amendment would amend the speech clause.

And I'm sure little Lisa has already told her bro that his message should have been "May the better man win" especially since I am not on the ballot. (Write-ins would be welcomed. But reemember, it's "Shag" not "Shaq" from Brookline. I'm over 35 and was born in Boston, MA.)

# posted by

Shag from Brookline : 10:03 AM

arne:

BTW, the last Dem candidate to win Dixville Notch was President Hubert Humphrey.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 10:07 AM

shag:

What is your platform?

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 10:49 AM

shag:

What is your platform?

I had guessed that the name said it all.

# posted by

Anderson : 11:14 AM

I for one welcome our new overlord from Brookline.

# posted by

PMS_CC : 11:30 AM

What is my platform?

I want to be on top. But at age 78, it takes me all night now to do what I used to do all night.

# posted by

Shag from Brookline : 1:29 PM

My new platform is a Mac. And I won't look back....

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 1:35 PM

Well Bart, are you seriously in any doubt that all the racists and religious bigots in this country are supporting McCain?

Or do you just not think that any of you racists and religious bigots are racists and religious bigots?

# posted by

Charles Gittings : 2:51 PM

Well Bart, are you seriously in any doubt that all the racists and religious bigots in this country are supporting McCain?

Or do you just not think that any of you racists and religious bigots are racists and religious bigots?

# posted by Charles Gittings : 2:51 PM

Actually, they posted a funny/sad story on this topic at fivethirtyeight.com.

So a canvasser goes to a woman's door in Washington, Pennsylvania. Knocks. Woman answers. Knocker asks who she's planning to vote for. She isn't sure, has to ask her husband who she's voting for. Husband is off in another room watching some game. Canvasser hears him yell back, "We're votin' for the n***er!"

Woman turns back to canvasser, and says brightly and matter of factly: "We're voting for the n***er."

The GOP is so damaged that McSame can't even depend on the racist vote.

# posted by

Bartbuster : 2:58 PM

charles gittings said...

Well Bart, are you seriously in any doubt that all the racists and religious bigots in this country are supporting McCain?

Yes.

I assume that the white racists are supporting McCain and the black racists are supporting Obama.

Unless, of course, you actually think that black racists support The One because of his experience, accomplishments and qualifications.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 3:16 PM

Uh uh, where a "black racist" is defined as someone who is black and doesn't like being treated as a sub-human by jerks like you Bart.

The actual difference being, to paraphrase the Kingfish, that between the Fuckers and the Fuckees.

# posted by

Charles Gittings : 3:23 PM

Uhhhhh?!?!? "[B]lack racists"? Guess I'd like to know when "Bart" was last told to drink at the dirty and rundown "Whites only" fountain ... or left as "strange fruit" on a tree.

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 3:36 PM

But I do know that "Bart" is concerned that "those ones" (you know, them, the minorities) are outbreeding us good, upstanding, white (northern) European lib'ruls....

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 3:38 PM

""[B]lack racists"?"

Sneer quotes, Arne? Certainly there are black racists, unless you use one of the tendentious definitions of "racist" designed to make that category theoretically impossible.

I'd go so far as to say that, at this point, a higher percentage of blacks are racist than whites. Not without cause, perhaps, but still, racists.

# posted by

Brett : 7:22 PM

Well gee Brett, that's the great thing about definitions: you're a free to state a coherent one of your own instead of simply making ungrounded assertions that fly in the face of ordinary usage and experience.

Until you do so, I wouldn't suppose you're anything but a damned liar trying to pretend that Jews are just as much racists towards German Nazis as German Nazis are towards Jews. There is a significant difference between the two, in the same sense that there is a difference between being raped and committing a rape.

Such an argument is a pure fraud grounded in bigotry -- a term which I define as follows:

To regard another person as an inferior being, an animal, or a thing.

# posted by

Charles Gittings : 8:01 PM

Brett:

Sneer quotes, Arne? Certainly there are black racists, unless you use one of the tendentious definitions of "racist" designed to make that category theoretically impossible.

I think we know what racists are. You're probably too young, but I certainly do. And they're still around (and the Rethuglicans are at the very least appealing to them if not racist themselves).

And then there's "Bart", who is oh so concerned that "those people" are outbreeding white folks. I mean, Brett, what more do you need to hear?

Show me some whites being lynched somewhere. Show me any blacks saying that whites ought to sit in the back of the bus....

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 8:11 PM

Well, it appears that Obama drew enough of the Reagan Dems to gain the first majority since Carter.

Congrats to you Dems on a well earned victory.

Enjoy the win. I have enjoyed the last 28 years. Now it is your turn.

DC is now yours with no excuses. The next four years will determine whether this is a realignment or a repeat of 1992.

# posted by

Bart DePalma : 9:43 PM

Well, looks like the only one Jack missed was Indiana (and that was damn close)!!!

Congratulations, Jack! You were eerily prescient!

Cheers,

# posted by

Arne Langsetmo : 8:00 AM

To follow on the last comment ...
He missed Indiana (barely) and (perhaps) the 2nd Congressional District in Nebraska (which is still counting - http://www.omaha.com/index.php?u_page=2835&u_sid=10480262). Certainly better than most predictions, that's for sure!

# posted by

Anuj Desai : 10:28 AM