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Monday, February 26, 2007
The World Court's Wishy-Washy Genocide Decision
David Luban
This morning, the International Court of Justice (a.k.a. "World Court") released its disappointingly wishy-washy decision on whether Serbia bears state responsibility for genocide in Bosnia during the Bosnian war. A few preliminary thoughts. (Confession: this is based on the 18,000 word summary released by the ICJ – I haven’t had time to read the 350-page opinion.)
Comments:
Dear Andreas,
You are right to point out the importance of the ICJ's clarification that Article 1 doesn't limit states' obligations to prevent genocide to their own territory. I'll correct the posting. As for the other criticism you raise, my point wasn't that the Court should find Serbian government involvement in Srebrenica without adequate evidence. Rather, it's that the Srebrenica massacre is not the only part of the Bosnian war that was genocidal. The Court rejected other genocide charges because of lack of evidence of specific intent to destroy significant parts of the Bosnian Muslim population. But it seems to me that the totality of evidence shows genocidal intent in, for example, the camps. The same anti-Muslim atrocities happened over and over again in the camps. Intent can be inferred from the pattern. Given Serbian government support for the VRS, that should suffice to support a charge of state complicity in genocide. That was what Bosnia argued: the consistency of patterns of mistreatment in the camps demonstrates specific intent ("dolus specialis" in civil-law terminology). The Court rejects this in paragraphs 370 and 373 of the judgment, insisting (in 373) that "specific intent...has to be convincingly shown by reference to particular circumstances." I think this is a bit of a non sequitur: Bosnia did point to particular circumstances, but argued that they should be viewed holistically, that is, by looking at their common pattern, rather than individually. The point, I think, is this: in any individual case, it might be impossible to infer specific intent to commit genocide from the fact that an atrocity was committed. So a prosecutor would be unable to charge and prove genocide against the individual perpetrator. But when we look at what many individuals did, and note the consistency with which they did it, the evidence of a genocidal plan becomes stronger and stronger. This is how Judge Al-Khasawneh argues in paras. 42-43 of his dissent, and I think he is right. If the Court had been open to this method of inferring intent from multiple pieces of evidence (no one of which may be sufficient to show intent) - as it should be - then the number of genocidal incidents in the Bosnian war would increase, and the difficulty of showing Belgrade's involvement would correspondingly decrease.
LA Times headline for this article:
"UN Court Clears Serbia of Genocide". The on line headline says "Serbia Cleared of Genocide".
David, I think you are overreading the obligation the Court finds to prevent genocide. By my reading it only applies wherever [A State] may be acting or may be able to act. Thus Serbia had an obligation in Bosnia where it was involved in the war and the US would have obligations in, for example, Iraq, but I doubt the court would find a generalized obligation to say intervene in Darfur or Rwanda by non-parties to the conflict.
L.S.,
First of all, to be honest I printed off the judgement, but fell asleep somewhere after the jurisdictional issues. So far be it for me to discuss the details, other than to support the Court in being cautious. A sharper ruling could have had far reaching consequences for Serbian politics and the relations between Serbia and the rest of the world. Such consequences matter. One other thing though: Could everyone please stop using the term "world court"? It is is wholly inaccurate and it gets all the nationalists' panties in a twist...
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