Now
that many (though certainly not all) of the relevant facts concerning President
Trump’s Ukraine affair are in, House Democrats face crucial choices. Drafting articles of impeachment is no
boilerplate task. How the Judiciary
Committee chooses to define Trump’s transgressions may have far-reaching
consequences. In drafting articles of
impeachment Democrats are not merely determining their trial strategy in the
Senate. They are also setting the boundaries
of public debate, laying the foundation for how the impeachment will be assessed,
win or lose, in the 2020 presidential campaign, as well as how it will be
regarded as a “precedent” for future presidents
(including Trump himself if he wins a second term).
Yet Democrats
are about to encounter an issue which so far has been little discussed. What is coming down the pike is arguably the
first presidential impeachment in American history to be centered around an
abuse of power not strongly connected with a crime or, for that matter, any
violation of law. This is potentially a
game-changing constitutional moment.
Many
commentators have the impression that past presidential impeachments have also involved
non-criminal charges. I detail why I believe
this is mistaken in this article, which I will not further summarize. For purposes of argument, let’s entertain
the idea that there is something profoundly different about the Trump
impeachment compared to the Nixon and Clinton impeachments – and Iran-contra,
the scandal in which the impeachment of President Reagan was contemplated
seriously. We will then be able to see
that the task facing Democrats is harder than they may believe.
Presidential
impeachments so far have been built around the sturdy spine of the criminal
law. But this time I suggest the lead
article(s) of impeachment will focus on a charge of the non-criminal abuse of
power. Does this pose a constitutional
problem? When the Judiciary Committee
holds its hearing tomorrow on standards for impeachment, I have little doubt
that at least some of the distinguished experts will have no trouble affirming
that soliciting a foreign government (consider it could have been a foreign
intelligence service with greater capabilities than Ukraine’s!) to undermine a
political opponent is an obvious abuse of power satisfying the “high crimes and
misdemeanors” standard. Keith
Whittington usefully reminds us that the balance of arguments has always
pointed to this standard not being limited to federal crimes. People who have already made up their minds
about President Trump will agree or not.
But will this ring true to uncertain elites and the “persuadable” public? Will it resonate in a way that benefits the
Democrats who initiated the impeachment process? Here there are reasons for doubt.
However much anti-Trump elites think it obvious, public-spirited
citizens will demand to know what this impeachment is really about. Does it centrally concern a threat to our
constitutional democracy? Or is it really
about some trouble Joe Biden made for himself?
Is it best seen as Trump making trouble for the Democratic party – and
not the nation as a whole? Does Trump’s
conduct really approximate Nixon’s?
These are questions inquiring minds will pose whether House Democrats
want to address them up front or not.
To continue a bit further in this vein, why should the average citizen care about whether President Trump
tried to undermine a specific candidate?
Would much harm have come to Biden had Trump succeeded? More generally, does a harm to a specific
person count as harm to the republic? Please
understand I realize that there is an argument to be made based on
principle. President Trump’s actions
were wrong. But for ordinary people, the
harm done to principles is often judged in terms of the concrete harm done in
the situation. Did Trump’s actions cause
substantial harm? Consider also that
most voters may not care that much about whether Trump tried to harm the
Democratic party. Can’t the party take
care of itself? Consider also politicians and political parties are not terribly popular with the broader public. In any case, if there was a harm to the party
or to the ordinary operation of the political system, is that not best taken
care of in the context of the rapidly approaching presidential election? Andrew Johnson aside, this is the first presidential
impeachment to occur in a first term.
Democrats must make, not simply assume, a sound normative case for a
non-criminal charge. Here I will note parenthetically that Democrats failed to make their case in the Iran-contra scandal largely because they assumed the facts would speak for themselves -- which they never do!
Now
consider a more general problem with centering impeachment around a
non-criminal charge. Constitutional
scholars who have studied impeachment tend to assume that because non-criminal
charges are allowed, that means they would be easy to formulate and defend. I suspect this is wishful thinking. It seems likely that a non-criminal charge
can be credibly made only if there is prior agreement that the charge is
impeachable. But if there is such widespread
agreement, then the conduct probably would never have occurred. As I argue in my article, the basic reason
presidential impeachments have revolved around the criminal model is that it is
possible to obtain advance agreement that presidents can be impeached for committing
serious federal crimes. This poses a
challenge for non-criminal impeachments.
The mere fact that the impeachment standard is not limited to crimes
does not mean that there is a persuasive way to articulate a non-criminal
charge in a way that is credible to the public.
To put it another way, establishing a Constitution through ratification
has little to do with actually implementing it.
Democrats
can address this problem by making what Cass Sunstein, in his recent book on
impeachment, refers to as a reversal argument.
In plain terms, this argument asks whether turnabout is fair play. Properly deployed, it poses a challenge
for both parties in a way which is comprehensible to voters. House Democrats should be challenged to
affirm that if a president of their party committed actions similar to Trump’s,
they would agree she should be removed from office. Republicans should be similarly challenged to
agree that if a Democratic president tried to undermine one of their leading
candidates in a future election, then that conduct warrants impeachment. Ordinary voters might well assume that neither
affirmation should be particularly taxing – an assumption which
could well give this argument a unique persuasive power. I suggest a reversal argument is the best way
to bring this non-criminal impeachment down to earth and dramatize the stakes
for people not accustomed to reading The Federalist.
To
support non-criminal “abuse of power” article(s) of impeachment, Democrats
should be making reversal arguments 24/7, morning, noon, and night. Only by drawing a clear line can Democrats
make a non-criminal impeachment comprehensible to the persuadable public. They should begin now.