Balkinization  

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Political Brinksmanship

Gerard N. Magliocca

I was going to post something serious about the ongoing debt ceiling negotiations, but on reflection I think that this gem from the British comedy series "Yes, Prime Minister" that I put up on Concurring Opinions a while ago does a better job of describing where we are. The scene is a conversation between the Prime Minister, Jim Hacker, and the Cabinet Secretary, Sir Humphrey Appleby, on nuclear deterrence of the Soviet Union.

Sir Humphrey: With Trident we can obliterate the whole of Eastern Europe.

The PM: I don’t want to obliterate the whole of Eastern Europe.

Sir Humphrey: It’s a deterrent.

The PM: It’s a bluff. I probably won’t use it.

Sir Humphrey: Yes, but they don’t know that you probably wouldn’t.

The PM: They probably do.

Sir Humphrey: Yes, they probably know that you probably wouldn’t. But they can’t certainly know.

The PM: They probably certainly know that I probably wouldn’t.

Sir Humphrey: Yes, but even though they probably certainly know that you probably wouldn’t, they don’t certainly know that, although you probably wouldn’t, there is no probability that you certainly would.

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