Balkinization  

Tuesday, February 24, 2004

JB

Bush Rolls the Dice on Same Sex Marriage

As expected, President Bush finally endorsed a constitutional amendment banning same sex marriage.

Will the strategy make him seem intolerant or will it allow him to take the initiative and drive public attention to an issue that energizes his base? Only time will tell.

I have predicted in a previous post that a same sex marriage amendment is going nowhere. Assuming that there are two thirds majorities in both houses of Congress (which are both controlled by the Republicans) I'm fairly sure that it will not obtain the required three quarters of the states to ratify.

But actually passing the amendment is not necessarily Bush's goal. Rather, as with so many announcements and policy initiatives in the past few months, he has only one goal on his mind: getting reelected in November.



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